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Eagle Farm Race 7: BMW J.J. Atkins 1600m

10/06/2016: A tough affair where assumption takes precedent over fact with only 2 runners in this big field of 20 having raced over the 1600m prior. 5 of the last 6 winners of this race have been last start winners so happy to stay with Attention who was a narrow but strong winner in the 1350m Group 2 Sires at Doomben. This Snowden trained colt draws to get the perfect run from gate 2 and is expected to be strong on the line again. Souchez was a beaten favourite in the Sires after being slowly into stride and did similar the start prior to that. Doesn't need to be giving starts away at this level so the start could be critical. Has plenty of ability and can easily bounce back here. Dreams Aplenty has to overcome a very wide draw but was only narrowly beaten by Attention in the Sires, and will most likely be driven to the lead early and if can then get a bit of respite in front could be in this for a long way. Sacred Elixir was luckless in the Sires and found the line well late after coming from well back on the turn. Always a big ask for backmarkers in large fields but if breaks go his way should be in the thick of things on the line. Vasililiev faces a massive class rise here jumping from maiden class but is the only runner to have won over this distance and is trained by Gai Waterhouse so could be a nice Exotics booster. Jaws Of Steel caught the eye running 3rd last run in an Open class event at Flemington and looks another at nice odds that rates some type of chance.

Eagle Farm Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 14:20, 11/06/2016

RACEMAPBMW J.J. Atkins 1600m
Front Runners (18) Dreams Aplenty.
On Pacers (1) Vasiliev, (2) Attention, (5) Nikitas, (14) Heart Skipt A Beat, (15) Barbass, (16) Redouble, (19) Charnley River, (20) Meet And Greet.
Mid Fielders (3) Crack Me Up, (8) Candika, (9) Souchez, (11) Oink.
Get Back (4) Jaws Of Steel,(6) Cadogan, (7) Royal Atom, (10) Punishing, (12) Zendaye, (13) Sacred Elixir, (17) Our Cinderella.
PACE COMMENTS You do not have a worry in the world about whether the pace in this race is going to be an issue because it will be no holds barred early. Dreams Aplenty is my only leader however if any of my eight on pacers jump cleanly I cannot imagine the jockey not taking advantage and moving forward. It's a Group 1 race and the on pacers will zoom early, especially the likes of Barbass, Redouble, Charnley River, Meet And Great and Heart Skipt A Beat who all have the ability to lead over this foreign distance. They have been close in shorter races early fairly consistently.
CHANCESBMW J.J. Atkins 1600mOrderMargin
Attention PLUS: Good last start winner Grp 2 Sires, drawn to get perfect run A 0
  MINUS: Unknown 1600m.    
Souchez PLUS: Won 2 placed 2 from 5, strong trainer/rider combo. B 0.25
  MINUS: Unknown 1600m, slow out last 2 runs.    
Dreams Aplenty PLUS: Just beaten Grp 2 Sires last run, will probably cross and lead here. C 1
  MINUS: Unknown at 1600m, has very wide draw.    
Sacred Elixir PLUS: Won 2 placed 1 from 5, unlucky last time. D 1.5
  MINUS: Unknown 1600m, can get a long way back.    
Vasiliev PLUS: Only winner in race to have won this distance, from top stable. E 2.75
  MINUS: Massive class rise.    
Jaws Of Steel PLUS: Eye catching run at Flemington last time, well drawn. F 3
  MINUS: Unknown 1600, failed only other clockwise run.    
Quadrella Race# Eagle Farm 11 June 2016
Eagle Farm 7 BMW J.J. Atkins 1600m
Eagle Farm 8 Channel 7 Queensland Derby 2400m
Eagle Farm 9 AAMI Stradbroke Handicap 1400m
Eagle Farm 10 Treasury Casino & Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
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EXOTICS BMW J.J. Atkins 1600m
Exacta

A: 2 3 6 9

B: 2 3 6 9

Trifecta

A: 2 3 6 8 9

B: 2 3 6 8 9

C: 2 3 6 8 9

First Four

A: 2 3 6

B: 2 3 6 8 9

C: 2 3 6 8 9 14

D: 2 3 6 8 9 14

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