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Eagle Farm Race 7: Treasury Casino Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m

3/06/2016: The renewal of this years QLD Oaks must be one if not the most open on record. Tipping Provocative here on an each way basis. This lightly raced filly has won 3 times from 6 runs and was a runaway Open class winner last time pout at Ipswich. She's by the great staying sire Zabeel so this trip here could be right up her alley. Has to overcome a horror draw but with any luck could deliver a knockout blow. Chabaud obviously derived great benefit from her Flemington run after a 28 day break and came out last time for an easy win at Group 3 level over 2500m at Morphettville. Was beaten less than 2 lengths in the Australian Group 1 Oaks at Randwick in April and a repeat of last effort throws her right in the frame. Falkenburg hasn't won beyond 1600m and hasn't had much luck in her last 3 runs. Has had some strong backing this week when her form only reads average here and must be respected on weight of money alone. Kebede has won 4 from 9 and comes off a last start Group 2 win over 2000m at Doomben. Has obvious potential and drawn to get a sweet run. Big watch. Imposing Lass has won 4 placed 2 from 6 runs and comes from the in form Bjorn Baker stable. Had very wide gate last time when 3rd to Kebede and draws much better here. Can turn the tables if luck goes here way. Ambience has horror draw but her form up and over 2000m is good.

Eagle Farm Race 7. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: SHOWERY. RaceTime: AEST 16:00, 04/06/2016

RACEMAPTreasury Casino Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
Front Runners (1) Ashlee Marie, (8) Tap This.(10) Imposing Lass, (17) Zasorceress.
On Pacers (4) Self Esteem, (5) Kebede, (6) Zafiki, (14) Chabaud,(15) Romantic Maid.
Mid Fielders (8) Queen Of Wands, (9) Meru, (11) Mount Omei, (12) Alaskan Rose,(19) Sebring Sally.
Get Back (2) Dulverton, (3) Falkenberg, (7) Beluga Blue, (16) Tavi Bay, (18) Sahara Sam, (20) Provocative, (21) Ambience,(22) Dawnie Perfect.
PACE COMMENTS The pace will come from Imposing Lass and I cannot imagine Zasorceress will not attempt to zoom over from her awful barrier 19. I also fancy Ashlee Marie and Tap This as two likely go forward types as in the past they have shown that ability without being classed as front runners per se. Sitting right on their tail are several on pacers also quite capable of taking up forward positions so all told I would not be too concerned about pace as an issue. Any back marker with staying ability should go quite well.
CHANCESTreasury Casino Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400mOrderMargin
Provocative PLUS: Won 3 from 6, easy winner last time out lower grade, bred to relish this distance. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in class, has horror draw.    
Chabaud PLUS: Easy Grp 3 winner last time, needed the run prior to that, from astute stable. B 0.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Falkenberg PLUS: Won 2 placed 3 from 8, well supported of late, from very astute stable. C 1.25
  MINUS: Rises in class, yet to win past 1600m.    
Kebede PLUS: Last start Grp 2 winner, won 4 placed 2 from 9, well drawn. D 1.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Imposing Lass PLUS: Won 4 placed 2 from 6, from in form stable, last start Grp 2 winner. E 2
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Ambience PLUS: Good form at 2000m and beyond, strong trainer / jockey combo. F 3
  MINUS: Rises in class, has horror draw.    
Quadrella Race# Eagle Farm 4 June 2016
Eagle Farm 5 Designline Graphics Juanmo 1200m
Eagle Farm 6 Mirvac QTC Cup 1300m
Eagle Farm 7 Treasury Casino Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
Eagle Farm 8 FKG Group Spear Chief Handicap 1500m
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EXOTICS Treasury Casino Hotel Queensland Oaks 2400m
Exacta

A: 2 4 12 19

B: 2 4 12 19

Trifecta

A: 2 3 4 12 19

B: 2 3 4 12 19

C: 2 3 4 12 19

First Four

A: 2 12 19

B: 2 4 12 19

C: 1 2 3 4 12 19

D: 1 2 3 4 12 19

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