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Eagle Farm Race 8: Sky Racing Tatt's Club Tiara 1400m

24/06/2016: Danish Twist is in a rich vein of form at the moment and will be shooting for 5 on trot here should she be successful. Came from well back at Listed level last time out at Randwick but I'm sure Hugh Bowman will sit her much closer in the run this time from gate 1. Handles all types of conditions and has terrific career strike rates. Goes well this trip and tipping she'll handle the transition to Group 1 company with aplomb. Azkadellia should appreciate the return to her own gender here after being well beaten in the Stradbroke last time out as favourite. Will again be coming from the rear but is proven this level and handles wet tracks. Will be a huge threat with an ounce of luck. Precious Gem is another mare proven at Group 1 level winning the Robert Sangster 2 runs back in Adelaide. Good effort from horror draw last time in the Stradbroke and draws well here. Has won up to 1700m and like Azkadellia will appreciate the return to mares class. Cradle Me is a winner her only start this track and distance and is in good recent form. Has big finish when on song and boasts genuine each way claims in this. Jessy Belle needs to break a run of 12 outs to win this and would have to produce a career best performance. Has raced well at lower Group level and was beaten less than 3 lengths at only other Group 1 start in the Myer Classic at Flemington last Spring. Has place claims here with right run.

Eagle Farm Race 8. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 15:17, 25/06/2016

RACEMAPSky Racing Tatt's Club Tiara 1400m
Front Runners (3) Echo Gal, (15) Onemorezetta, (16) My Poppette.
On Pacers (4) Miss Cover Girl, (5) Press Report, (7) Jessy Belle.
Mid Fielders (1) Danish Twist, (2) Beatniks, (6) Palazzo Pubblico, (8) Blueberry Hill, (10) Scarlet Billows, (13) Cradle Me.
Get Back (4) Precious Gem, (11) Azkadellia, (12) Artistry, (14) Sultry Feeling.
PACE COMMENTS The easiest part of assessing my race map for this race was allotting the back markers and mid fielders as their normal in running positions are fairly static. However, two runners (Onemorezetta, My Poppette) who can be ordinary early in shorter races can race forward as the distances increase and I am punting on their connections suggesting their jockey has a throw at the stumps and has a go early. Echo Gal is not really a leader either but Gai Waterhouse horses often don’t sit back wondering in Group races and it’s difficult to not imagine her sliding along early but because she is a distance doubt not at a fast pace. On the basis of uncertainty out front I have to suggest the pace will not be hectic which suggests the back markers will really need to be good to win so if you are backing Azkadellia have a deep think about the odds.
CHANCESSky Racing Tatt's Club Tiara 1400mOrderMargin
Danish Twist PLUS: Has won last 4, goes well this distance, well drawn. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Azkadellia PLUS: Proven this level, back to mares grade, goes well this distance. B 0.5
  MINUS: Well beaten last time, gets a long way back.    
Precious Gem PLUS: Proven this level, winner up to 1700m, well drawn, back to mares grade. C 1.5
  MINUS: Unplaced only run this track.    
Cradle Me PLUS: Winner only run track/dist, goes well this distance, last start Grp 2 winner. D 2.25
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Jessy Belle PLUS: Has raced well in lesser Grp races in past, only Grp 1 run was good last spring. E 3.5
  MINUS: Beaten last 12 runs, up in class.    
Quadrella Race# Eagle Farm 25 June 2016
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EXOTICS Sky Racing Tatt's Club Tiara 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 2 3 4

B: 1 2 3 4

Trifecta

A: 1 2 3 4 6

B: 1 2 3 4 6

C: 1 2 3 4 6

First Four

A: 1 2 3

B: 1 2 3 4

C: 1 2 3 4 6 11

D: 1 2 3 4 6 11

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