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Eagle Farm Race 9: W.J.Healy Stakes 1200m

24/06/2016: This is not a strong Group 3 and the career performances of That's A Good Idea is generally better than most engaged here. Although still yet to win at this level this Snowden trained gelding has twice been placed at Group 2 level and comes into this off a narrow Randwick win in Open company. Hugh Bowman should have That's A Good Idea in the perfect trailing position from gate 1 and should take some getting over at the business end. Shamalia represents some value here and was luckless 1st up when forced to cover extra ground from wide gate. Fares a little better barrier wise in this and has won 2nd up in the past. Odyssey Moon is a last start winner In Open company at Sandown and placed this level 3 runs back at Randwick. Last 3 runs have all been good and looks capable if things go his way. Mogador has been costly for backers in recent times and doesn't always produce when expected. Has ability and if he finds his A form can threaten here. Into The Red is a dual Listed winner in recent times and has won here at Eagle Farm. Has been placed this level in the past and can play a part here. Tina Melina is a 5 time winner this distance and has won at Listed level. Last couple ordinary, but rates on bets form.

Eagle Farm Race 9. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 15:57, 25/06/2016

RACEMAPW.J.Healy Stakes 1200m
Front Runners (8) Saluter, (13) Odyssey Moon.
On Pacers (2) That's A Good Idea, (9) Hotel Drive, (11) Mana Manu.
Mid Fielders (4) Final Crescendo, (5) Tina Melina, (6) Rock Royalty, (7) Into The Red.
Get Back (1) Mogador, (3) Blackboard Special, (10) Shamalia, (12) Dream Choice.
PACE COMMENTS Amazingly for a sprint race, where there is often quite a solid pace, I am of the belief the pace in this event will not be that hectic. I am assessing That’s A Good Idea as more of an on pacer than leader from barrier 2 which has me “seeing” Saluter and Odyssey Moon working over early in the race and once they assume their positions I see them easing off quite quickly. I would be very wary about becoming too keen on the mid fielders and back markers as the pace might be a problem.
CHANCESW.J.Healy Stakes 1200mOrderMargin
That's A Good Idea PLUS: Last start winner Randwick, drawn well, good strike rates. A 0
  MINUS: Yet to win this level.    
Shamalia PLUS: No luck last run, has won 2nd up, proven this level. B 0.75
  MINUS: Unplaced last 3 runs.    
Odyssey Moon PLUS: Last start winner Sandown, placed this level, good recent form. C 1.75
  MINUS: Yet to win 7 runs this distance.    
Mogador PLUS: Just bloused out last run, drawn well. D 2.25
  MINUS: Has been costly for punters, yet to win 5 runs this distance.    
Into The Red PLUS: Has been placed this level, winner this track. E 3
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Tina Melina PLUS: 5 time winner this distance, well drawn. F 3.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
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Eagle Farm 9 W.J.Healy Stakes 1200m
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EXOTICS W.J.Healy Stakes 1200m
Exacta

A: 1 4 8 11

B: 1 4 8 11

Trifecta

A: 1 2 4 8 11

B: 1 2 4 8 11

C: 1 2 4 8 11

First Four

A: 1 4 8

B: 1 4 8 11

C: 1 2 4 8 11

D: 1 2 4 8 11

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