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Flemington Race 10: Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes 1400m

2/11/2015: Wawail should take a power of beating in final race of the day and appeals as one of the better bets on the card. This mare maps perfectly from gate 5 and should get a soft run just off the pace for rider Kerrin McEvoy. She has won 2 from 3 this track with a placing and similarly over the 1400m. A winner at Group 2 level who also won at her only other 3rd up run. Statistically has very thing going for her. Sydney mare Peace Force is sure to offer strong resistance, has to overcome very wide draw here but has very good career strike rates and is proven this level - three time winner this distance who will be right there if gets the breaks in running. Nayeli has won 4 from 10 and is from the astute Snowden stable. Runner up at only start this distance and narrowly defeated Peace Force this level last time out at Randwick. Waller mare She's Clean is twice placed this track and won this level at Newcastle 2 runs back, draws the inside but will get back and need an opening in the straight and shouldn't be far off them if it comes. Scarlet Billows hasn't won for a while but has raced in top company and has been close up in some very strong fields, distance here is a bit of an issue but normally hits the line well.

Flemington Race 10. RaceTime: AEDT 17:15, 03/11/2015

RACEMAPHong Kong Jockey Club Stakes 1400m
Front Runners (14) Traveston Girl.
On Pacers (12) Tycoon Tara, (16) Peace Force, (5) Wawail, (13) Nayeli.
Mid Fielders (17) Exclusive Lass, (3) Lucky Lago, (8) Kayjay's Joy, (15) Into The Mist.
Get Back (10) Scarlet Billows, (6) Tahni Dancer, (7) Sultry Feeling, (2) Unequivocal, (1) She's Clean, (9) Divertire, (4) Berry Delicious, (18) Wine Tales, (11) Thinking Of You.
PACE COMMENTS Traveston Girl is expected to push on from her wide gate and take up the running here in the final event. 3 of the 4 on pace listed runners are also drawn out so a solid first sectional is expected as they push forward to get closer to the rail. Wawail is the 4th of this brigade and easily fares best with an inside draw so should get a soft run from that gate. Unequivocal and She's Clean will both have admirers in this event and both are expected to drop out early, neither should be disadvantaged by what is expected to be a genuine tempo.
CHANCESHong Kong Jockey Club Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Wawail PLUS: Strong record at track, strong record at distance, perfect draw, winner other 3rd up run. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Peace Force PLUS: Strong record this distance, good strike rates, proven this level. B 1.5
  MINUS: Has horror draw to overcome.    
Nayeli PLUS: Won 4 from 10, proven this level, from astute stable. C 2
  MINUS: Drawn a bit wide, beaten both runs at distance.    
She's Clean PLUS: Proven this level, good record at distance, twice placed this track. D 3
  MINUS: Not a good draw for a horse that gets back.    
Scarlet Billows PLUS: Close up in stronger company recent runs. E 3.25
  MINUS: Yet to place in 4 runs at distance    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 3 November 2015
Flemington 7 Emirates Melbourne Cup 3200m
Flemington 8 James Boag's Symphony Stakes 1800m
Flemington 9 Mss Security Sprint 1200m
Flemington 10 Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes 1400m
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