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Flemington Race 6: Banjo Patterson Series Heat Five 2500m

26/06/2015: There’s not terribly much between Cadillac Mountain and De Little Engine as both have terrific records at their third runs and deeper into a preparation and their last start efforts are suggesting they are ready to win. Practiced is a lightly raced six year old, rising seven soon, but his run when just beaten by Zanteco last preparation and his win last start (both at this track and distance) suggests that with maturity and distance he will feature in this race, especially with just 52 kg. Black Jag looked good on face value in what seemed a fighting win but a read of the stewards report suggests D Dunn, rider of the runner up Lady Cumquat, didn’t think she finished the race off. With an extra 2.5kg that doesn’t instill confidence in yours truly but winners keep winning and perhaps it will happen again. Crafty Cruiser’s legs must feel the pinch at times as he has had many, many runs but here at Flemington it’s hard not to agree he does his best work.

Flemington Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 14:45, 27/06/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (11) Black Jag.
On Pacers (3) You Think So, (4) Lucciola, (7) Stable Star, (9) Cooldini.
Mid Fielders (2) Kapour, (6) Prizum, (8) Practiced, (10) Timikar, (12) Cadillac Mountain, (13) De Little Engine.
Get Back (1) Arch Fire, (5) Crafty Cruiser, (14) Nassi, (15) Jo Jo Girl, (16) Our Voodoo Prince.
PACE COMMENTS Don't worry about pace for this event as with Black Jag likely to lead and with consistent leaders or on pacers such as Cooldini, Stable Star, Lucciola and You Think So on his back I believe the back markers can work their way into contention.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Cadillac Mountain PLUS: Three from ten third up and deeper, three good track wins, big finish last run, now ready. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back needs pace on.    
De Little Engine PLUS: Track and distance winner, third up last start needing the run, five wins good tracks, now ready. B 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back needs pace on.    
Practiced PLUS: 2kg claim helps, two from two quinella track and distance, beat Martinvast two Flemington runs ago. C 1
  MINUS: Class rise.    
Black Jag PLUS: Leads, track and distance winner, five good track wins. D 2
  MINUS: Rises 2.5kg meeting Crafty Cruiser 5.5kg worse at weights, runner up last start was weak run?    
You Think So PLUS: Two from three track and distance, needed last run, three from seven distance, now ready to improve. E 2.5
  MINUS: Has ground to make up on De Little Engine.    
Crafty Cruiser PLUS: 3kg claim really helps, twice winner track and distance, really genuine Flemington distance runs. F 2.75
  MINUS: Eighty fourth race start tired legs.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Our Voodoo Prince, Cooldini, Kapour, Stable Star, Lucciola, Arch Fire and Prizum are all chances but just don’t make my top six.
OUTCLASSED Jo Jo Girl, Nassi, Timikar.
Quadrella Race# Flemington 27 June 2015
Flemington 6 Banjo Patterson Series Heat Five 2500m
Flemington 7 Provincial Plate 1600m
Flemington 8 Winter Championship Series Heat Six 1400m
Flemington 9 Leilani Series Heat Four 1400m
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