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Flemington Race 6: Bobbie Lewis Handicap 1200m

11/09/2015: The ease of Churchill Dancer’s win last start indicated a horse on the up and when you add his excellent track and distance record to the equation it’s not difficult to have him as the A selection. Although some might think Riziz is only beating weaker Adelaide horses, which is true, but it is the ease of the wins that suggest he can also add to his good track and distance record. Rich Enuff is the worry horse of the race as he was beaten very convincingly first up plus by beating the same horse, Looks Like The Cat, which sometimes is a concern. The problem is that Looks Like The Cat has not raced since that campaign therefore leaving concerns about the form strength. If Lucky Hussler wins this race, considering the likely pace and those ahead in the run, he will have a huge spring carnival. We already know he has the class - look at those Group 1 runs last campaign - but he will be more of a place bet for mine. Gregers has the ability but as a mare against the males at a track where she doesn’t quite finish of her races I have to risk her a fraction.

Flemington Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:25, 12/09/2015

RACEMAPBobbie Lewis Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (3) Rich Enuff, (7) Gregers.
On Pacers (7) Churchill Dancer, (9) Worthy Cause, (10) Riziz, (11) Il Cavallo.
Mid Fielders (2) Lucky Hussler, (13) Jabali.
Get Back (1) Sterling City,(4) Setinum, (5) Amorino, (6) Under The Louvre, (12) Kaepernick.
PACE COMMENTS A very straight forward race map that sees Rich Enuff and Gregers as joint leaders. The riders on Worthy Cause, Churchill Dancer, Riziz and Il Cavallo will be sitting behind the leading duo licking their lips in anticipation of victory. I find it very difficult to see the mid fielders and get back types making up the ground required on all those ahead, with perhaps the exception of Worthy Cause who is outclassed.
CHANCESBobbie Lewis Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Churchill Dancer PLUS: Three wins from five runs at track and distance, receives perfect run off leaders. A 0
  MINUS: Zero wins from four wet track runs.    
Riziz PLUS: Nine wins at the distance, two wins from four runs at track and distance, four wet track wins. B 0.5
  MINUS: Class rise from Adelaide form but handicapper rating suggests class not a major issue.    
Rich Enuff PLUS: Group 2 winner this track and distance, needed first up run., two wins from three runs at distance. C 1
  MINUS: Beat same horse Looks Like The Cat in both Group wins thus strength of form possibly suspect.    
Lucky Hussler PLUS: Last four runs at Group 1 were excellent, five good track wins, four wins from nine runs at distance. D 1.25
  MINUS: One win from eight wet track runs, gets back in race where pace might not suit.    
Gregers PLUS: Two distance wins, two wins from three runs in wet. E 2
  MINUS: One second from four runs at track, mare versus males.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 12 September 2015
Flemington 6 Bobbie Lewis Handicap 1200m
Flemington 7 Makybe Diva Stakes 1600m
Flemington 8 Let's Elope Stakes 1400m
Flemington 9 Spring Is The Season Handicap 1700m
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