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Flemington Race 6: Dalray Handicap 1100m

17/07/2015: On a soft track I am selecting Lord Esprit with just 52kg to carry compared to Rough Justice with 58.5kg and that’s about all that splits them for mine. Supido will be the favourite but first up over 1100m and drawn near the fence on a soft track concerns me. Valiant Warrior is the wet tracker of the race but has to tackle this stronger company first up with 58kg and that’s a big ask. Lockroy was vetted last run and no abnormalities were noted so perhaps it was the heavy 8 which caused the problem. It is a positive move the stable has brought him to Melbourne probably hoping to find a better track condition.

Flemington Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 14:55, 18/07/2015

RACEMAPDalray Handicap 1100m 
Front Runners (4) Diamond Baroness, (7) Valiant Warrior, (14) Ionlythinkofyou.
On Pacers (1) Supido, (5) Rough Justice, (6) Harlem Star, (10) All Aussie, (13) I Am The General.
Mid Fielders (2) Bian Hard, (3) Moment Of Pride, (8) Viking Ransom, (9) Massara Lad, (11) Lord Esprit, (12) Lockroy, (15) What A Hoot.
Get Back Nil.
PACE COMMENTS With the strong possibility of three front runners and five on pacers sitting right on the leaders there is little doubt the pace is going to be hectic right from the start. I would not be at all worried about backing a mid fielder and as you will notice I do not have a get back type listed at all.
CHANCESDalray Handicap 1100mOrderMargin
Lord Esprit PLUS: 2kg claim keeps down in weight, needed first up run, lightly raced improver. A 0
  MINUS: No slow track form.    
Rough Justice PLUS: One from one track and distance and one from one distance, loves Flemington straight. B 0.25
  MINUS: Big weight on slow track.    
Supido PLUS: Lightly raced improver, won 800m barrier trial heavy track easily. C 1.25
  MINUS: First up at distance on slow track in a race not barrier trial.    
Valiant Warrior PLUS: Two from two soft tracks, career six from eight, distance no issue. D 2
  MINUS: Tasmanian form, first up with big weight, first straight track run.    
Lockroy PLUS: Distance not issue, soft track winner two runs ago, Hawkes stable from Sydney to Melbourne. E 2.25
  MINUS: Two wins thirteen career runs not flash record, first Flemington straight run.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 18 July 2015
Flemington 6 Dalray Handicap 1100m
Flemington 7 Bruce Gadsden Handicap 1400m
Flemington 8 Flemington Event Staff Handicap 1600m
Flemington 9 Briseis Handicap 2000m
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