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Flemington Race 6: Inglis Dash 1100m

16/01/2016: Class reigns supreme in horse racing and the class horse of this race is Gold Symphony based on his two Group 3 wins earlier this year. One of the wins was his defeat of Ready For Victory who was placed behind Press Statement in the Caulfield Guineas. That's enough of a form line to have Gold Symphony as my A-selection with the only doubt about his fitness first up. Hellbent also has a fitness cloud but his break is only 35 days which technically has him fitter than Gold Symphony. Hellbent was unlucky not to have finished closer to Counter Attack a few starts ago and that horse ran third to Japonisme in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes. What bothers me is that he had every chance when off a 42 day break last start and here we are off 35 days. However, he won a barrier trial on January 4 and perhaps I am being too precious. There's nothing between this duo for my money. The Big Dance really fought hard first up behind Magna Rossa, who added to the form line by running well at Caulfield last Saturday. The drop back to 1100m really provides her with a strong chance to be a contender at good odds. Mossin' Around finished ahead of The Big Dance but I thought the drop from 60kg, better fitness and the distance change, would help The Big Dance just a smidgen more.

Flemington Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 15:26, 16/01/2016

RACEMAPInglis Dash 1100m
Front Runners (1) Beyond Purple, (3) The Big Dance, (12) Grogans Anvil.
On Pacers (5) Bitburg, (7) Tokyo Tycoon, (9) Hellbent, (11) Rocky Boomboa, (14) Apriano, (15) Geoff.
Mid Fielders (2) Maddie Moo Moo, (4) Mossin' Around, (6) Gold Symphony, (10) Black Envy.
Get Back (1) Dream On Monty, (13) Poppi Rox.
PACE COMMENTS With The Big Dance and Beyond Purple as consistent front runners or at least sitting outside the leader we find two horses setting the pace. There's every possibility Grogans Anvil will also be on the lead sitting outside The Big Dance and Beyond Purple. With six on pacers it's fair to assume one or two will surge forward and be a length or so off the leaders and putting the pressure on early. All of the above basically ensures a good solid pace giving all runners their chance.
CHANCESInglis Dash 1100mOrderMargin
Gold Symphony PLUS: Twice Group 3 winner, three wins from four runs career, handles all track conditions, magnificently weighted. A 0
  MINUS: First uppers always a risk.    
Hellbent PLUS: Distance and track conditions no worries, needed last run, unlucky to Counterattack (see form comment). B 0.25
  MINUS: Five weeks break minor concern.    
The Big Dance PLUS: Found distance first up too difficult with weight, big improver at shorter distance. C 1
  MINUS: Not well handicapped but improvers can overcome.    
Mossin' Around PLUS: Magna Rossa form line strong, good track suits, Craig Williams real bonus. D 2
  MINUS: Filly versus males, poorly weighted as per handicappers ratings but is improver.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 16 January 2016
Flemington 6 Inglis Dash 1100m
Flemington 7 Chester Manifold Stakes 1400m
Flemington 8 Piping Lane Handicap 2000m
Flemington 9 Tauto Handicap 1400m
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EXOTICS Inglis Dash 1100m
Exacta

A: 1

B: 3 4 12

Trifecta

A: 1

B: 3 4 12

C: 2 3 4 5 12

First Four

A: 1

B: 3 4 12

C: 2 3 4 5 12

D: 2 3 4 5 12

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