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Flemington Race 6: National Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400m

06/05/2016: Looks a tough opening leg with a very evenly graded field and a host of chances. Un De Sceaux was a last start winner this class track and distance which is statistical advantage many of his combatants here don't have. Happy to stay with him on the basis of that and looks a genuine chance to repeat that effort here with the right run. Prestwick does rise in class but was an emphatic last start winner in a BM 64 at Sale by 3.3 lengths. Looks ready now to live up to early potential. Star Zone took out his maiden 2 runs back at Bendigo then was not far away last time when 8th of 14 this class on this track. Can easily further improve here and deliver a knockout blow at good odds. Sir Sagamore was only just bloused out by our top selection last start this track and distance. Has to overcome a very wide draw but is from a very astute stable and can certainly go one better with any luck in the run. Shockaholic was 3rd in that same race and only 0.5 lengths adrift from the winner. Has won 3 from 12 and is yet another with genuine each way claims. Lazumba has gone poorly last 2 runs but is a winner here with good form this distance. Take on trust but strong chance if can recapture the form of a few runs back.

Flemington Race 6. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 15:05, 07/05/2016

RACEMAPNational Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (3) Mista Holyfield, (4) Northern Model, (5) Spiral, (7) Prestwick, (9) Challenge Accepted, (10) Sword Of Justice, (13) Mallee Hoff.
Mid Fielders (1) Un De Sceaux(2) Oriental Ruler, (6) Star Zone, (12) Atlantic City.
Get Back (8) Turn Again, (11) Shockaholic, (14) Lazumba, (15) Whirlpool,(16) Sir Sagamore, (17) Bernie Boy.
PACE COMMENTS This is one of those tricky races where the in running positions of several runners is inconsistent thus my race map is tempered with a bit of guesswork. As I have no recognized consistent leader we need to assume there will be pace from the on pacers thus overall the pace will be solid enough to afford most of the field their chance for victory.
CHANCESNational Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Un De Sceaux PLUS: Last start winner track, class and distance, won 3 from 8, draws well. A 0
  MINUS: Yet to put successive wins together.    
Prestwick PLUS: Won 2 1 placing from 5, romped home last time in lesser grade, from top stable. B 0.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Star Zone PLUS: Close up this grade last time when hit the line well, draws well. C 1.25
  MINUS: Only win to date has been a maiden.    
Sir Sagamore PLUS: Just beaten this track, class and distance last time, from astute stable. D 1.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide, only 1 win in 10 runs.    
Shockaholic PLUS: Close up 3rd track, class and distance last time, won 3 from 12. E 2
  MINUS: Beaten both runs this distance.    
Lazumba PLUS: Good record this distance, winner this track. F 2.25
  MINUS: Last couple poor, drawn wide.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 7 May 2016
Flemington 6 National Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400m
Flemington 7 Singapore Turf Club Trophy 2800m
Flemington 8 Chairman's Club BM90 1400m
Flemington 9 Mothers Day Handicap 2000m
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EXOTICS National Jockeys Trust Handicap 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 10 17

B: 1 3 10 17

Trifecta

A: 1 3 7 10 17

B: 1 3 7 10 17

C: 1 3 7 10 17

First Four

A: 1 3 10

B: 1 3 10 17

C: 1 3 5 10 17

D: 1 3 5 10 17

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