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Flemington Race 6: The Bart Cummings Handicap 2520m

2/10/2015: Bold Sniper's only wins have been at staying distances and going on his second Australian run more wins are in store. His run last start was terrific as he really worked hard throughout the race. Foundry ran a top race in last years Naturalism Stakes but unfortunately needed to be spelled for almost one year. Second up last start he showed a return to the form required to be a chance in this race. Kapour had his chance last start and perhaps he really needs it wet but I am slotting him in as the run was still quite good and I don't want to be too harsh too quickly. Our Ivanhowe's first up run was a ripper as he worked home quite strongly at the end of 2000m and you would be thinking, based on his career wins, this distance will suit even more. Just the same he is second up with 60kg and that's an ask.Wexford Town looked gone last start when challenged by his stablemate but he shrugged off the 60kg and the stablemate to record a strong win. The problem is we do not really know the ability of Doumaran thus I am unsure of the form per se.

Flemington Race 6. RaceTime: AEDT 15:30, 04/10/2015

RACEMAPThe Bart Cummings Handicap 2520m
Front Runners (10) Wexford Town, (16) Kapour.
On Pacers (15) Cafe Society.
Mid Fielders (1) Our Ivanhowe, (4) Foundry, (5) Renew, (6) Hawkspur, (7) Maygrove, (8) Mister Inpatience, (9) Crafty Cruiser, (18) Bold Sniper.
Get Back (2) At First Sight, (3) Precedence, (11) Let's Make A Deal, (12) Sonntag, (14) De Little Engine, (17) La Amastad.
PACE COMMENTS Going on his effort at Morphettville last start I see Wexford Town leading with most likely Kapour and Cafe Society angling forward from their wide barriers. From there that trio will ease down which will make the pace fairly ordinary for a greater part of the journey. This decrees you should be asking for each way odds around the $5 to $6 mark about any mid fielders or get back runners.
CHANCESThe Bart Cummings Handicap 2520mOrderMargin
Bold Sniper PLUS: Lightly raced even though six year old, massive run last start when wide most of race. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back but this might not be so with longer distance.    
Foundry PLUS: One win one second two runs this track, handles good and wet track conditions. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back,third up this distance.    
Kapour PLUS: Need last run second up, won three races from nine races in wet tracks, lightly raced. C 0.75
  MINUS: Wide barrier will require effort early, less effective on dry tracks.    
Our Ivanhowe PLUS: Five wins from twelve career runs, handles all track conditions, strong finish first up. D 1
  MINUS: Second up this distance with big weight.    
Wexford Town PLUS: Fought tenaciously last start win, three good track wins from nine starts. E 1.5
  MINUS: Class rise according to handicappers ratings.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 4 October 2015
Flemington 6 The Bart Cummings Handicap 2520m
Flemington 7 Turnbull Stakes 2000m
Flemington 8 Blazer Stakes 1400m
Flemington 9 Paris Lane Stakes 1400m
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