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Flemington Race 6: Timothy Kelly & Kevin Viney Handicap 1400m

07/08/2015: Going through Del Prado’s form with a fine tooth comb I found excuses for three of his last five runs (wide, twenty five days/twenty eight days breaks and a heavy track) which has him winning two from two. He is the classic lightly raced improver and although he gets back I fancy his chances. So Does He will get the gun run off the pace and if he can handle the five day back up he will be a top chance. Bon Rocket may have found the track too hard last start plus he was up in grade. If you are forgiving he is a last start winner at this track and distance although beating Bradman is nothing to brag about. Bel Seal seems to be struggling on wet tracks recently and if the track stays at a good four he will get his chance. Liberty Island has barrier one and two runs ago kicked up from the same barrier number. I fancy some improvement on the cards from his last run with D Oliver saving ground if he can jump.

Flemington Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:10, 08/08/2015

RACEMAPTimothy Kelly & Kevin Viney Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (8) Bon Rocket, (10) Free Of Doubt, (20) Rainbow Storm.
On Pacers (1) Liberty Island, (2) Spanish Love, (3) So Does He, (16) Volontiers, (17) Cyclone Andy.
Mid Fielders (4) Reach Out, (6) Firehouse Rock, (7) Turf Crusher, (11) Bel Seal, (13) Marco Polo.
Get Back (5) Cross Of Gold, (9) Grand Sai Wan, (12) Del Prado, (14) Lord Da Vinci, (16) This Is The Show, (18) Tee 'N' Tee, (20) Bradman.
PACE COMMENTS With the likelihood of Rainbow Storm needing to zoom over from his wide barrier and Bon Rocket and Free Of Doubt possibly surging forward to escape being caught wide I am declaring the pace will be genuine. This sort of pace will suit all runners so don’t be too concerned if backing back markers because if they are good enough, and I am hoping Del Prado fits into this category, they can win.
CHANCESTimothy Kelly & Kevin Viney Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Del Prado PLUS: Five from thirteen good tracks, distance not an issue, six from nineteen career equals improver. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
So Does He PLUS: Quick back up, perfect run off pace, three from thirteen good tracks. B 0.25
  MINUS: One from eight distance.    
Bon Rocket PLUS: Two from six distance, four from fourteen good tracks, can lead, track too hard last run? C 0.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Bel Seal PLUS: Two wins from seven distance seven placed, three wins good tracks, struggling in soft going. D 0.75
  MINUS: Damp tracks.    
Liberty Island PLUS: D Oliver C Waller, Raposo form line two runs ago, wide last run possible forgive. E 1.75
  MINUS: Just won weak Canterbury race five runs ago.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 8 August 2015
Flemington 6 Timothy Kelly & Kevin Viney Handicap 1400m
Flemington 7 Aurie's Star Handicap 1200m
Flemington 8 Nathan O'Mara & Terry Jolley Handicap 1000m
Flemington 9 Leanne Sanderson & Denis Hansen Handicap 2000m
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