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Flemington Race 6: Western Otway Handicap 1600m

24/06/2016: Euro Angel returned to racing in devastating fashion last start with a dominant 3.3 length win at this track in a BM 78 class event over 1400m. Rises in class here and has to overcome a horror draw out in gate 17 but looks to have huge potential and if gets some cover in the run then she's the obvious one they all have to get over. War Legend comes off an impressive last start win over this distance at Sandown on soft ground and is drawn to get a much softer run than the favourite. Has been placed at Listed level and recent Group runs have been OK. Looks a big threat if Euro Angel has to do it tough. Payroll has been placed at Group 2 level and was 3rd to Euro Angel last start. Some query over this distance and needs to deliver on early promise, but genuine each way chance on best career runs so far. Get The Picture could be the Exotics booster and is another who has been placed at Group 2 level. Not suited by heavy track last time and was placed at only other 2nd up run. Drawn wide but has ability and looks genuine place chance at least at good odds. Red Banner rises in class but is looking for 3 on the trot here. From good stable and not too far away at only previous run this class. Makatiti rises in grade and has been placed this level. Only 1 win in 11 but placed 8 times and that looks best chance again here.

Flemington Race 6. Track Condition: SOFT (6). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 14:45, 25/06/2016

RACEMAPWestern Otway Handicap 1600m
Front Runners (14) Art Of Deception.
On Pacers (3) Lunar Spin, (5) Lady Selkirk, (8) Makatiti.
Mid Fielders (1) Am Ruben, (2) Red Banner, (6) War Legend, (9) Payroll, (10) Palace Tycoon, (12) Georgies Luce, (17) Euro Angel.
Get Back (4) Shockaholic, (7) Galaxy Raider, (11) Just A Hint, (13) Sir Sagamore, (15) Get The Picture, (16) Hursley, (18) Rezak.
PACE COMMENTS This is a race where anything can happen as even though I have four horses near the lead there is no guarantee they will jump cleanly. They have in the past and that’s our only guide but it seems to depend on their barrier manners on the day. Then we look at the log jam of mid fielders and back markers! It’s fair to suggest some of those horses will surge forward but which ones? Sorry folks but all I can suggest is just select and bet for value as my race map is one consisting of a fair amount of guesswork.
CHANCESWestern Otway Handicap 1600mOrderMargin
Euro Angel PLUS: Effortless winner on return last time, has won 2 from 3, from astute stable. A 0
  MINUS: Has very wide draw, unknown past 1400m.    
War Legend PLUS: Easy winner this grade and distance at Sandown last time, drawn for soft run. B 0.75
  MINUS: Nil.    
Payroll PLUS: Placed at Grp 2 level, ran home strongly for 3rd last time. C 1.75
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1206m, only 1 win in 9 runs.    
Get The Picture PLUS: Placed at Grp 2 level, has been placed 2nd up, not suited heavy ground last time. D 2.25
  MINUS: Has wide draw.    
Red Banner PLUS: Winner last 2 in lesser grade, from astute stable, well drawn. E 3
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Makatiti PLUS: Has been placed this level, placed 8 from 11. F 4.5
  MINUS: Rises in class, only 1 win in 11 runs.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 25 June 2016
Flemington 6 Western Otway Handicap 1600m
Flemington 7 David Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m
Flemington 8 Wimmera & Murray Mallee Handicap 2500m
Flemington 9 Midwest Bellarine Handicap 1100m
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EXOTICS Western Otway Handicap 1600m

A: 1 2 7 8

B: 1 2 7 8


A: 1 2 7 8 9

B: 1 2 7 8 9

C: 1 2 7 8 9

First Four

A: 1 8

B: 1 2 7 8 9

C: 1 2 7 8 9 12

D: 1 2 7 8 9 12

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