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Flemington Race 7: Aurie's Star Handicap 1200m

07/08/2015: If Trust In A Gust is fit for an early win he does just that, win. The issue is whether his trainer can fine tune him for a first up run and still have enough in the tank for the Group 1 races. It's a real balancing act for the trainer. The value punters must risk him and for that matter Shiraz, who is actually favourite, as it’s his first Flemington straight run and I have seen a few top horses beaten in the past under that scenario. However can Play Master beat them both home? I don’t think he can so I will be taking my AB in the quadrella and backing Play Master for the win as a saver which means I have to have something on Lonrockstar, too. I feel a headache coming!

Flemington Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 15:50, 08/08/2015

RACEMAPAurie's Star Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (1) Shiraz, (2) Decircles.
On Pacers (9) Le Bonsir, (11) Trust In A Gust.
Mid Fielders (3) Pago Rock, (4) Audino, (5) Hero Master. (10) Living On A Prayer.
Get Back (6) Zebrinz, (7) Nadeem Lass, (8) Lonrockstar, (12) Smackdown.
PACE COMMENTS No matter which way you look at the lead (Decircles or Shiraz or both fighting one another out in front) the horse that is going to get the run of the race has to be Trust In A Gust. If Decircles leads the chances of winning improves for Shiraz but sadly we don’t quite know how the early positions will pan out pre race. Jogging behind the likely leading trio will be the under rated Playmaster and if Trust In A Gust is just a track gallop short he looks a danger, too. Although I have Lonrockstar in my selections he might have to be related to Phar Lap to win coming from last but he does have the Play Master form line.
CHANCESAurie's Star Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Trust In A Gust PLUS: Two from five distance, two from four first up, Group 1 horse. With ten from eighteen career. A 0
  MINUS: One run short big spring campaign.    
Shiraz PLUS: Can lead, fit, six from ten good tracks, eight from thirteen career improver, one from one distance. B 1
  MINUS: Nil.    
Play Master PLUS: Seven from thirteen distance, two from three track and distance, six good track wins. C 1.25
  MINUS: Nil, genuine racehorse.    
Lonrockstar PLUS: One from three track, four good track wins. D 2
  MINUS: Chronic get back type, zero from seven distance but won longer.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 8 August 2015
Flemington 6 Timothy Kelly & Kevin Viney Handicap 1400m
Flemington 7 Aurie's Star Handicap 1200m
Flemington 8 Nathan O'Mara & Terry Jolley Handicap 1000m
Flemington 9 Leanne Sanderson & Denis Hansen Handicap 2000m
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