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Flemington Race 7: Bitalli Handicap 2500m

2/07/2016: These 2500m races have never been great betting vehicles so wager at your own risk, seems to be case more often than not of whose turn is it this week. With no real conviction we'll put Araldo Junior on top who should be much better this week on the expected firmer conditions. This Michael Moroney trained gelding has won up to 2800m and comes up top rated on Benchmark Ratings. A winner his only start this track and distance, draws well and should go close. Bold Sniper's last 2 runs here have been OK after winning at Sandown 3 runs back. Should get good passage from gate 2 and again be in the thick of things. Kapour could be suited by the distance increase here and expect improvement on last unplaced effort at Caulfield. Former Michael Moroney trained Black Tomahawk rises in class on last run when 2nd in Adelaide but has won at Listed level and is now in the Darren Weir camp. Has in form rider and has to be respected. Au Revoir has won at Group 2 level some 6 runs back but form has really fallen away since that win. Back to what should be drier conditions here will help considerably and would be a huge threat in a race like this if can find best form.

Flemington Race 7. Track Condition: SOFT (7). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 15:40, 23/07/2016

RACEMAPBitalli Handicap 2500m
Front Runners (3) Araldo Junior.
On Pacers (4) Bold Sniper, (6) Kapour.
Mid Fielders (1) Manalapan, (5) Black Tomahawk, (9) River's Lane, (10) Backbone.
Get Back (2) Black Stardom, (8) Nassi.
PACE COMMENTS Going on recent runs Araldo Junior should lead but I would not be taking short odds about the occurrence as Bold Sniper and Kapour are more than capable of leading if their jockeys/connections so desired. However, what is worth backing at short odds is that one of the trio will lead early with what has to be considered a solid pace as Araldo Junior does not sit back reading the paper when out front. Just take this race as you see it and accept the pace will be fine. It is a fair assumption all things considered.
CHANCESBitalli Handicap 2500mOrderMargin
Araldo Junior PLUS: Winner only run track/distance, winner up to 2800m, drier track a plus. A 0
  MINUS: Pretty poor last time when unplaced after leading.    
Bold Sniper PLUS: Runner up this class last time here, drawn to get run of race. B 1.5
  MINUS: Yet to win in 4 runs here.    
Kapour PLUS: Should be ready to peak here at 4th run back, extra distance should suit. C 2
  MINUS: Beaten last 8 runs.    
Black Tomahawk PLUS: Winner at Listed level, placed both runs this track, has in form rider. D 2.5
  MINUS: Has been beaten last 8 runs.    
Au Revoir PLUS: Winner Grp 2 level, distance increase a plus. E 3.5
  MINUS: Form poor last 5, well beaten in every run.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 23 July 2016
Flemington 6 Bruce Gadsden BM90 1200m
Flemington 7 Bitalli Handicap 2500m
Flemington 8 Flemington Event Staff BM90 1600m
Flemington 9 VRC Recognition Handicap 1100m
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EXOTICS Bitalli Handicap 2500m

A: 2 3 4 6

B: 2 3 4 6


A: 1 2 3 4 6

B: 1 2 3 4 6

C: 1 2 3 4 6

First Four

A: 2 3 4

B: 2 3 4 6

C: 1 2 3 4 6 7

D: 1 2 3 4 6 7

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