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Flemington Race 7: David Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m

24/06/2016: This is not a great race and certainly no conviction with any of the following selections. Some concern about the distance but Royal Rapture is going to get the right run from an inside gate and last 2 runs have been good without winning, in fact this gelding needs to break a 10 run losing sequence if he is going to be successful here. Opposition is not strong and recent performances suggest he is close. Award Of Merit is lightly raced and may have more upside than many of his rivals here. Won this grade in Adelaide last time out and although coming off an awkward break did win Gawler trial recently. Has won this distance. Leveraction is flying at the moment and should again find the front here and give them all something to run down. Back 200m in distance but still likely to be in this for a long way. Artie's Shore last 2 runs prior to his last start Swan Hill failure puts him right in the picture for a race like this. Drawn well and has won up to 1700m. Aurum Spirit doesn't win many but is always around the mark and is a must for Exotic multiples.

Flemington Race 7. Track Condition: SOFT (6). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 15:25, 25/06/2016

RACEMAPDavid Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m
Front Runners (11) Leveraction.
On Pacers (1) Royal Rapture, (3) Magic Consol.
Mid Fielders (2) Subiaso, (4) Artie's Shore, (6) Award Of Merit.
Get Back (5) Way Too Easy, (8) Walloon Region, (9) Ferro Nero, (10) Aurum Spirit, (12) It'sallaboutharry.
PACE COMMENTS Any race in which Leveraction features as a front runner, and that is most at 1400m plus, you can be sure he will lead and with some zest to boot. There is not much to add as I don’t think any of my on pacers will challenge Leveraction for the lead if the stable on this bold front runner wish to lead. In other words, the pace will be solid enough for all runners.
CHANCESDavid Bourke Provincial Plate 1600mOrderMargin
Royal Rapture PLUS: Good run this track 2 runs back in stronger field, drawn to get soft run. A 0
  MINUS: Distance query, has been beaten last 10 runs.    
Award Of Merit PLUS: Won 3 from 9, last start winner this grade, winner this distance, recent trial winner. B 0.25
  MINUS: Well beaten only previous run this track.    
Leveraction PLUS: In great form at the moment, should find the lead again. C 1.5
  MINUS: Coming back 200m in distance, drawn a little wide.    
Artie's Shore PLUS: Good runs prior to last start failure, winner up to 1700m, well drawn. D 2.25
  MINUS: Unplaced all 3 runs this track, yet to win 6 runs at distance.    
Aurum Spirit PLUS: Goes well this distance, come home well in big field last time. E 2.75
  MINUS: Yet to win in 14 runs this track.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 25 June 2016
Flemington 6 Western Otway Handicap 1600m
Flemington 7 David Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m
Flemington 8 Wimmera & Murray Mallee Handicap 2500m
Flemington 9 Midwest Bellarine Handicap 1100m
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EXOTICS David Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m
Exacta

A: 1 2 3 5

B: 1 2 3 5

Trifecta

A: 1 2 3 5 6

B: 1 2 3 5 6

C: 1 2 3 5 6

First Four

A: 1 2 3 5 6

B: 1 2 3 5 6

C: 1 2 3 5 6

D: 1 2 3 5 6

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