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Flemington Race 7: Emirates Stakes 1600m

06/11/2015: This race has broken the hearts of many punters over the years as many of the favoured runners, usually, have had big campaigns stretching back almost two months and by the time they get to the Emirates can often be spent forces. For that reason I am searching for newbies, mostly, and there are two standouts for that position in Bow Creek (huge Moonee Valley effort) and Magic Artist (good thing beaten first up in the MacKinnon Stakes). If Magic Artist is a chance then Ecuador is in the mix as well as he had twenty eight days off before his excellent run. You will notice it took Winx to beat him in the Epsom! Sons Of John also has Winx form lines so forgive the Moonee Valley run when he didn't receive any favours in the run. Politeness has been a revelation for a back marker and although I have been against her recently if they are running on she will give this race a shake. My fluker for the trifectas, and even a small win bet, is Coronation Shallan who handles the wet and has been competitive against males in the past. I would have thought she would be about 20/1ish not 66/1.

Flemington Race 7. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:20, 07/11/2015

RACEMAPEmirates Stakes 1600m
Front Runners (11) Turn Me Loose, (14) Coronation Shallan.
On Pacers (2) Sons of John, (6) Ecuador, (15) Arod.
Mid Fielders (3) Lucky Hussler, (4) Messene, (5) Magic Artist, (9) Disposition, (10) Bow Creek, (12) He Or She.
Get Back (1) Moriarty, (7) Amovatio, (8) Politeness, (13) Rock Sturdy, (16) May's Dream.
PACE COMMENTS With two front runners in Turn Me Loose and Coronation Shallan and three on pacers (Sons Of John, Ecuador, Arod) I believe the pace will be good if the track is favouring the fence. If this is the case I suspect a couple of my on pacers may well go for the lead or at least push harder for a forward position thus affording the mid fielders their chance. Watch for any patterns early in the day.
CHANCESEmirates Stakes 1600mOrderMargin
Bow Creek PLUS: Three distance wins, huge first Australian run, handles wet tracks, has beaten Gordon Lord Byron. A 0
  MINUS: Was slowly away first Australian run.    
Magic Artist PLUS: Certainty beaten first Australian run., distance and damp track conditions not an issue. B 0.25
  MINUS: Was slowly away first Australian run.    
Ecuador PLUS: Winx formline, first up off 28 days at longer distance last run, two wins three seconds five distance runs. C 0.75
  MINUS: Nil.    
Politeness PLUS: Unbeaten this campaign, two wins from four soft track runs, distance not an issue. D 1
  MINUS: Mare versus males who gets back in field.    
Sons Of John PLUS: Also has Winx form lines, forgive Moonee Valley run, distance and wet track conditions suitable. E 1.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Coronation Shallan PLUS: Gets beautiful run leading or on pace, loves wet with five placings from six runs, huge price, has beaten males. F 1.75
  MINUS: Class rise, mare versus males.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 7 November 2015
Flemington 6 Darley Classic 1200m
Flemington 7 Emirates Stakes 1600m
Flemington 8 Presto Matriarch Stakes 2000m
Flemington 9 Emirates Airlines Handicap 1400m
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