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Flemington Race 7: Kensington Stakes 1000m

29/01/2016: Wild Rain will receive all the favours sitting just off the pace. I must admit to believing he was just a wet tracker but I am wrong and he looks the best bet in the quadrella legs for those wishing to go one out. If there's rain just add a length to his chances! There was nothing wrong with Bullpit's return to the winners circle in the Tauto Handicap and there is no reason to doubt another win is on the cards. From here it gets tougher as including the get back types is only being considered for the exotics as I don't feel they can make up ground and zip past Wild Rain and Bullpit considering the form they are in. It's a toss up between The Quarterback, Iconic, The Monstar and Barbed.

Flemington Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 16:06, 30/01/2016

RACEMAPKensington Stakes 1000m
Front Runners (2) Bullpit, (10) Hard Stride.
On Pacers (1) Wild Rain, (4) Headwater, (5) Pink Perfection.
Mid Fielders (3) Straturbo, (11) Barbed.
Get Back (6) The Monstar, (7) Iconic, (8) The Quarterback, (9) Yesterday's Song.
PACE COMMENTS I love these type of races where the in running positions are clear cut owing to a relatively consistent past history. Bullpit leads with Hard Stride an inch away with Wild Rain, Headwater and Pink Perfection just sitting off the pace waiting their turn to challenge. Each of those horses can accelerate when needed and this makes the task of winning really quite difficult for the mid fielders and get back types.
CHANCESKensington Stakes 1000mOrderMargin
Wild Rain PLUS: Five distance wins from nine starts, three good track wins from eight runs, perfect run off the pace. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Bullpit PLUS: Five distance wins from fifteen attempts, track and distance winner last start, five good track wins, fine in wet. B 0.5
  MINUS: Class rise.    
The Monstar PLUS: Four distance wins from eight runs, handles good track but better if wet. C 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back in slowly run race.    
The Quarterback PLUS: Three times track and distance winner, goes better in dry than wet but handles both. D 1.75
  MINUS: Gets back in slowly run race.    
Iconic PLUS: Three distance wins, three times winner first up from six campaigns, handles dry and wet conditions. E 2
  MINUS: Gets back in slowly run race.    
Barbed PLUS: Unlucky last run after good first up run, distance no great issue, must have dry track F 2.25
  MINUS: Gets back in slowly run race.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 30 January 2016
Flemington 6 John Calvert Handicap 1400m
Flemington 7 Kensington Stakes 1000m
Flemington 8 Kyle Smith Handicap 1400m
Flemington 9 The Summer Series Handicap 1800m
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EXOTICS Kensington Stakes 1000m
Exacta

A: 5

B: 1 2 3 7 10 11

Trifecta

A: 5

B: 1 2 3 7 10 11

C: 1 2 3 7 10 11

First Four

A: 5

B: 1 2 3 7 10 11

C: 1 2 3 7 10 11

D: 1 2 3 7 10 11

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