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Flemington Race 7: Turnbull Stakes 2000m

02/10/2015: I am leaning towards the gallant Royal Descent who receives a good run in transit and is magnificently weighted under the conditions of this race. Rising Romance was a fraction stiff behind the fighting Fawkner and that form line has been franked in the Underwood Stakes. Hartnell just ran out of puff first up and his second up record suggests big improvement today. Preferment won the VRC Derby last spring and he’s on target to run a top race here for the Bowman Waller combination. Interesting to note HB has dropped Royal Descent to ride Preferment possibly for this ride but definitely as a tester for the longer races such as the Caulfield and Melbourne Cup. Volkstok’n’barrell may not have liked Caulfield last week but his prior run at this track suggests I give him one more chance. He does have Preferment form through the Rosehill Guineas. Happy Trails kisses the ground at this track and he will surge again late and give his usual one hundred percent.

Flemington Race 7. RaceTime: AEDT 16:10, 04/10/2015

RACEMAPTurnbull Stakes 2000m
Front Runners (12) Amralah, (13) Royal Descent.
On Pacers (7) Set Square, (8) Volkstok'n'barrell, (10) Preferment, (15) Hartnell.
Mid Fielders (1) Magicool, (2) Protectionist, (3) Happy Trails, (4) Who Shot The Barman, (6) Awesome Rock, (17) Rising Romance.
Get Back (5) Gust Of Wind, (9) Weary, (11) Extra Zero, (14) Alpine Eagle, (16) Dandino.
PACE COMMENTS It certainly looks like this race will have enough pace with the classy mare Royal Descent near the lead and a strong last start on the pace winner in Amralah also up close early. I envisage the classy trio Hartnell, Set Square and Volkstok'n'barrell to be serving it up to the leaders at the six hundred metre mark which means the mid fielders will get their chance late in the race. Pace shouldn't be an issue.
CHANCESTurnbull Stakes 2000mOrderMargin
Royal Descent PLUS: Outstanding mare beautifully weighted, C Waller trained and G Boss in the saddle, distance no issue, box seat in the run. A 0
  MINUS: Mare versus males.    
Rising Romance PLUS: Second Caulfield Cup, three good track wins, distance no issue, tad unlucky last run to fighting Fawkner. B 0.25
  MINUS: Mare versus males, gets back.    
Hartnell PLUS: Two wins from four runs distance, three good track wins, three from three quinella efforts second up. C 0.75
  MINUS: Bad barrier forces him back early.    
Preferment PLUS: VRC Derby winner this track, distance and track conditions no concern, H Bowman drops off Royal Descent. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back, beat handicapper last start.    
Volkstok'n'barrell PLUS: Just beat Preferment in Rosehill Guineas, four good track wins from eight runs, distance no issue. E 1.5
  MINUS: Disappointing last run but Caulfield an issue perhaps.    
Happy Trails PLUS: Track and distance specialist with two wins from five runs, three wins at track, six good track runs. F 2
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 4 October 2015
Flemington 6 The Bart Cummings Handicap 2520m
Flemington 7 Turnbull Stakes 2000m
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