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Flemington Race 8: All Victorian Sprint Series Final 1200m

10/07/2015: Play Master seemed to be on the slightly worse going last start when beaten by Lonrockstar and over the extra 100 metres, a distance he has won over six times, I am tipping a mini reversal. I am also of the belief the pace will be against Lonrockstar. Decircles is a Flemington horse with three wins over the track and distance and he will be better suited coming back two hundred metres. Red Corner is the new boy on the block and his defeat of Rich Jack, last week’s easy Caulfield winner, puts him in this race after a handy 3.5kg weight drop. Lonrockstar seems slightly better to me at 1100m but I cannot totally knock his chances at 1200m because he has run reasonable races at the distance and has won at 1300m in weaker company. Where I am most worried is his get back style. Solsay doesn’t seem to fire at Flemington (based on three runs which could be inconclusive) but he sure can run well second up and at this distance.

Flemington Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:10, 11/07/2015

Front Runners (11) Decircles.
On Pacers (2) Hard Romp, (3) Solsay, (5) Play Master, (6) Nearest To Pin.
Mid Fielders (4) Lonrockstar, (8) About Square, (9) Red Corner, (10) Written Up, (12) Nadeem Lass.
Get Back (1) General Truce, (7) Desert Jeuney, (13) Smackdown.
PACE COMMENTS Here's another race, as per Race 7, where the early positioning is set up quite quickly and from there, even over 1200m, the pace will slacken early. This certainly sets up the scenario where the mid fielders and get back types need to be exceptionally good to give away a start and provide strong sectionals late in the race. Again, I would be wary about having them in the AB positions.
CHANCESAll Victorian Sprint Series Final 1200mOrderMargin
Play Master PLUS: Six from twelve distance, one from two track and distance. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Decircles PLUS: Four from ten distance, three from eight track and distance, D Oliver aboard. B 0.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Red Corner PLUS: Two from five distance, one from one trcak and distance, beat Rich Jack last start. C 1
  MINUS: Gets back, thirty one days break.    
Lonrockstar PLUS: Four good track wins, has won 1300m, four from six placings distance. D 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back in possible slowly run race.    
Solsay PLUS: Six from seven quinella second up with three wins, eight wins distance E 2
  MINUS: Yet to place from three track and distance runs    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 11 July 2015
Flemington 6 Rivette Series Final 1600m
Flemington 7 Winter Championship Series Final 1600m
Flemington 8 All Victorian Sprint Series Final 1200m
Flemington 9 Banjo Patterson Series Final 2600m
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