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Flemington Race 8: A.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m

8/07/2016: Liked the way the Group 1 placed Odyssey Moon found the line in his last start win over 1100m at this track after coming off a Sandown win in heavy conditions prior to that. This Robert Smerdon trained colt is yet to race at a level less than Open company in his 17 start career and has obviously been highly regarded throughout. Looks to have a class edge on many of his rivals here and is the one they all have to get over. Prince Of Brooklyn has won at Group 3 level and looked a little unlucky last time out not to win at Moonee Valley when produced 1st up. Has won 2nd up and has 2 of only 5 starts and is showing plenty of early potential. Looks a big threat. We're Sure faces a steep class hike here but has won 3 of 7 starts and comes from an astute stable. Won his only start this distance and any market moves could be significant. Lord Von Costa was beaten by a pretty smart one last time and has been runner up this track at last 2 runs. Yet to win past lowly class events but last couple promising and doesn't have to find too much more on those performances to be a major player here. Sooboog has become somewhat of an enigma who doesn't seem to run two races alike in recent times. Is very smart at best but which Sooboog is going to front in this is the question.

Flemington Race 8. Track Condition: SOFT (7). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:10, 09/07/2016

RACEMAPA.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m
Front Runners (4) El Dorado Mine.
On Pacers (2) Chase The Horizon, (5) Prince Of Brooklyn.
Mid Fielders (1) Boogi, (6) Lord Von Costa, (9) Crystal Dreamer, (11) Tango Rock, (12) Odyssey Moon.
Get Back (3) Nat's The Boss, (7) We're Sure, (8) Sound Works, (10) Sooboog, (13) Little Indian, (14) Well Sighted.
PACE COMMENTS It’s one thing leading in a maiden and another leading up the Flemington straight track hence even though I have El Dorado Mine as the likely leader it’s not with massive confidence. On that basis let’s assume my on pacers will be close keeping my leader honest but just the same that still only leaves three horses near the lead. This has me a bit worried about the pace so be wary about the price you accept about the mid fielders and back markers. I know I prattle on about this but it’s important.
CHANCESA.R. Creswick Series Final 1200mOrderMargin
Odyssey Moon PLUS: Placed Grp 1 level, last start winner this track, won on heavy ground. A 0
  MINUS: Yet to win 7 runs this distance.    
Prince Of Brooklyn PLUS: Won 2 from 5, goes well this distance, a little unlucky not to win last time. B 1
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
We're Sure PLUS: Winner only run this distance, won 3 from 7, winner heavy ground. C 2
  MINUS: Steep rise in class.    
Lord Von Costa PLUS: Beaten by smart one last time, good runs last 2 here, goes well this distance. D 2.5
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 8 runs.    
Sooboog PLUS: Drops in grade, placed Grp 2 level, recent trial winner. E 2.75
  MINUS: Very hard to follow in recent times.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 9 July 2016
Flemington 6 Banjo Paterson Series Final 2600m
Flemington 7 VRC-CRV Winter Championship Final 1600m
Flemington 8 A.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m
Flemington 9 Leilani Series Final 1400m
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EXOTICS A.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m
Exacta

A: 1 2 3 6

B: 1 2 3 6

Trifecta

A: 1 2 3 4 6

B: 1 2 3 4 6

C: 1 2 3 4 6

First Four

A: 1 2

B: 1 2 3 4 6

C: 1 2 3 4 6

D: 1 2 3 4 6

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