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Flemington Race 8: Jezabeel Handicap 1000m

10/06/2016: More than half the field here could lay claims to having a genuine winning chance. Looking for a bit of value in Hard Romp who has both a good record at both the track and also the distance. Not too far off them last time when 5th of 9 over this course and historically has a good record when racing 3rd up for 2 wins and a placing in 5 runs. Wil race right up on the speed and is proven this level. Olivier is in a rich vein of form at the moment and will be shooting for 4 on the trot in this. Has won 2 from 3 at the distance and despite rising in grade won comfortably last time at Caulfield and the class rise looks well within his reach. Reldas drops in grade here and his last run at this level was beaten less than a length by topliner Malaguerra. Subsequently has performed well at Group and Listed level and should take no end of holding out here. Alberto Magic has won 7 from 13 and has won at Group 3 level. Last 2 runs have been well below best and would have to take on trust here at first Victorian run. Has changed stables and any market moves could be significant. Bullpit is proven over this course and drops back from Listed level last time when 2.4 length 7th to Nautical. This looks easier on paper and could easily bounce back here.

Flemington Race 8. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: SHOWERY. RaceTime: AEST 16:02, 11/06/2016

RACEMAPJezabeel Handicap 1000m
Front Runners (8) Bullpit.
On Pacers (2) Vibrant Rogue, (3) Straturbo, (5) African Pulse, (7) Hard Romp.
Mid Fielders (6) Alberto Magic, (10) Olivier, (11) Lonrockstar.
Get Back (1) Reldas, (4) Our Nkwazi, (9) General Truce.
PACE COMMENTS With Bullpit in the race, and especially at Flemington, the pace will be solid enough for starters and then we have four on pacers with each having the ability to lead. This ensures the pace will good enough for the habitual back markers to steam home out wide where the track might be the best spot anyway by the time of this race.
CHANCESJezabeel Handicap 1000mOrderMargin
Hard Romp PLUS: Goes well at track, goes well at distance, good record 3rd up. A 0
  MINUS: Failed to place last time this level.    
Olivier PLUS: Looking for 4 straight wins, won 2 from 3 at distance. B 0.5
  MINUS: Rises in grade, unplaced all other 3 runs here.    
Reldas PLUS: Drops in grade, winner this distance, races well fresh. C 0.75
  MINUS: Beaten both other runs this track, gets well back.    
Alberto Magic PLUS: Won 7 from 13, won 2 from 3 at distance. D 1.5
  MINUS: Last 2 very poor, first start Melbourne query    
Bullpit PLUS: Proven this course, drops in grade. E 2
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 7 runs this track.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 11 June 2016
Flemington 6 Craftsman BM78 2000m
Flemington 7 Rod Johnson Handicap 1400m
Flemington 8 Jezabeel Handicap 1000m
Flemington 9 Comic Court BM78 1400m
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EXOTICS Jezabeel Handicap 1000m
Exacta

A: 1 2 4 10

B: 1 2 4 10

Trifecta

A: 1 2 4 6 10

B: 1 2 4 6 10

C: 1 2 4 6 10

First Four

A: 1 4 10

B: 1 2 4 6 10

C: 1 2 4 6 10

D: 1 2 4 6 10

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