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Flemington Race 8: Let's Elope Stakes 1400m

11/09/2015: Cosmic Endeavour was gradually shuffled back last start and never really received clear galloping room for most of the straight. She clearly should have finished about one length closer at the worst. Madam Gangster just loves this track and distance and will again feature strongly. I am hoping the fact I expect Cosmic Endeavour to be ahead of her in the straight will turn the tables. Noble Protector strolled in against Marianne first up last campaign but as I believe that mare to be just average and that the competition is tougher today has me placing Noble Protector as my C selection. I could be horribly wrong but I feel I would rather watch than bet on her as favourite. Amicus showed she has Group 1 potential by her 0.3 lengths defeat in the Coolmore Stakes behind Plucky Belle. Her first up win showed she is ready for this race.May’s Dream is a punters nightmare as she always drops back, and she will again today, but it was a “wow” run last start behind Madam Gangster and company.

Flemington Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 12/09/2015

RACEMAPLet's Elope Stakes 1400m
Front Runners (4) Vezelay, (9) Tawteen.
On Pacers (1) Noble Protector, (3) Miss Rose De Lago, (5) Cosmic Endeavour, (7) Platinum Rocker, (14) Maastricht, (15) Sardaaj.
Mid Fielders (6) Madam Gangster, (11) Precious Gem, (12) Niminypiminy.
Get Back (2) Fenway, (8) May's Dream, (10) Amarela, (13) Amicus, (16) Loved Up, (17) Lady Cumquat.
PACE COMMENTS There will be no serious problems about pace in this race as I have two front runners (Vezelay, Tawteen) and seven possible on pacers listed. There's a chance Hazard from out wide might even become a front runner as she will have to be fired up early to cross from her awful barrier. Don't worry in the slightest about betting on any of the back markers as if they are good enough they will feature in the finish.
CHANCESLet's Elope Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Cosmic Endeavour PLUS: Three wins at the distance, five wins from thirteen runs on good tracks, no luck first up. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Madam Gangster PLUS: Unbeaten at the track and distance with two from two, handles soft and good tracks. B 0.5
  MINUS: Nil.    
Amicus PLUS: Distance no issue, C Waller brings down from Sydney, just beaten at Group 1 level last campaign. C 0.75
  MINUS: Slotting in from wide barrier.    
Noble Protector PLUS: Won five times from eleven good track runs, two wins from four first up runs. D 1.5
  MINUS: First up at this distance against fitter horses.    
May's Dream PLUS: One win from three distance runs, three good track wins, huge run last start. E 1.75
  MINUS: Chronic get back type.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 12 September 2015
Flemington 6 Bobbie Lewis Handicap 1200m
Flemington 7 Makybe Diva Stakes 1600m
Flemington 8 Let's Elope Stakes 1400m
Flemington 9 Spring Is The Season Handicap 1700m
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