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Flemington Race 8: Piping Lane Handicap 2000m

16/01/2016: Although I have never been a fan of Second Bullet I was very impressed by his Flemington win last start and here he is again at the same track and distance. If the "new" Second Bullet steps up he wins. Signoff's first up run was unbelievable coming from a seemingly hopeless position even half way down the straight. As good as he is I just doubt if he can give Second Bullet 6 kg in weight and a start as well but I don't doubt I could be wrong, too. Allergic has no chance on the handicappers rating figures but I often point out that lightly raced horses, and especially those from top stables, can make a lie of the raw statistics quite easily. Allergic has a second to the top class Delicacy and finished ahead of Werther (a winner in Hong Kong recently) in the SA Derby and if that's not a terrific form line what is? Metaphorical comes into this race as a chance on the Signoff third and the 1.5kg claim for Regan Bayliss. Sabor A Triunfo would be a weight special to some punters as she drop 6kg on her run behind Yulong Baby, who won again last Saturday. If you drop Yulong Baby's weight 6kg from her December 26 win you would find her in this race with 48kg! It's a huge Robin Hood bow I am stringing but it is a weight line worth considering.

Flemington Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:46, 16/01/2016

RACEMAPPiping Lane Handicap 2000m
Front Runners (2) Faust.
On Pacers (3) Star Rolling, (8) Second Bullet, (11) Inspector.
Mid Fielders (1) Sabor A Triunfo, (4) Allergic, (9) Metaphorical, (12) Signoff.
Get Back (5) Warrior King, (6) Golden Mane, (7) Rebel Rising, (10) Oregon Spirit.
PACE COMMENTS Faust should lead from his excellent barrier with the jockeys on Star Rolling and Second Bullet allowing Inspector to sit off Faust thus giving them the perfect trail. I won't categorically bag the horses behind the leading quartet but I believe they will struggle to win. The only exception will be Signoff simply because he can run strong finishing sectionals and might actually be too good anyway.
CHANCESPiping Lane Handicap 2000mOrderMargin
Second Bullet PLUS: Four from nine runs at the distance, two from three at the track and distance, six dry track wins. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Signoff PLUS: Two wins from four at the distance, seven good track wins, huge run first up, class horse of the race trained by Darren Weir. B 0.5
  MINUS: Second up this distance after big first up effort.    
Allergic PLUS: Lightly raced John O'Shea improver, second to Delicacy in SA Derby, distance and track conditions perfect, Craig Williams rides. C 1
  MINUS: Well beaten by Second Bullet last start.    
Metaphorical PLUS: Claim helpful, Signoff form line, distance and track conditions not an issue. D 1.25
  MINUS: Mare versus males.    
Sabor A Triunfo PLUS: Receives nice trail, drops a massive 6kg, distance, track and track conditions all suitable. E 1.5
  MINUS: Mare versus males.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 16 January 2016
Flemington 6 Inglis Dash 1100m
Flemington 7 Chester Manifold Stakes 1400m
Flemington 8 Piping Lane Handicap 2000m
Flemington 9 Tauto Handicap 1400m
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EXOTICS Piping Lane Handicap 2000m
Exacta

A: 8

B: 1 4 6 7 10

Trifecta

A: 8

B: 1 4 6 7 10

C: 1 4 6 7 10

First Four

A: 8

B: 1 4 6 7 10

C: 1 4 6 7 10

D: 1 2 4 6 7 10

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