Today's Big Bets 0
Amount Bet Today $0
Most Bet Today

Flemington Race 8: Western Health Foundation Handicap 1200m

11/12/2015: There are form students who will argue weight does not matter but if relative weight does matter then Churchill Dancer is the each way bet of the day with just 2.5kg over the limit weight, after the claim for Dylan Dunn. I cannot ignore how well he is treated when you look at his run behind Chautauqua when carrying 0.5 kg less. Then there is his amazing four wins at the track and distance from eight runs and there have been legitimate excuses for the last two defeats (outclassed, wet). He's a top chance. Durendal was supposed to be suspect at 1400m last start but he strolled in and he is in with a good chance here, too. The Malaguerra formline is excellent and he is the classic lightly raced improver who can take the next rise in class without surprising one iota. British General was off a massive 434 days break last start when he rocketed home to finish 2.35 lengths behind Weinholt at Ballarat and a repeat of that type of effort sees him as a contender in this race. Nicoscene was deep most of the journey when second up to Written Up yet he still ran on solidly. His three third up runs have yielded two wins so keep him safe. Sistine Demon is generally considered better over the 1350-1400 metre range but his first up run was that good (wide, held up) that I am slotting him in as a solid chance.

Flemington Race 8. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:45, 12/12/2015

RACEMAPWestern Health Foundation Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (1) Sistine Demon, (4) Hard Stride, (8) British General, (9) Decircles.
On Pacers (7) Durendal, (11) Churchill Dancer, (13) Zupacharged, (14) Boomwaa.
Mid Fielders (2) Nordic Empire, (5) Pago Rock, (6) Nicoscene, (10) Sarajevo.
Get Back (3) Itsahymn, (12) Mister Milton.
PACE COMMENTS There isn't an issue relevant to pace in this race as I have over half the field as leaders or on pacers. This means there will quite a bit going on early as all those runners jostle for position. No doubt the pressure will be on a fair way out and that provides the mid fielders and get back types a chance to rocket home in the last eighty metres against those that either go too early or are forced to go early.
CHANCESWestern Health Foundation Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Churchill Dancer PLUS: Four wins from eight track and distance runs, five wins on good tracks, 3kg claim a real bonus. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Durendal PLUS: Four distance wins from six attempts, four good track wins, easy winner last start when a distance doubt. B 0.5
  MINUS: Class rise but is flying!    
British General PLUS: Three distance wins, three track wins, eight good track wins, Weinholt Gallant Harmony formline is strong. C 0.75
  MINUS: Nil    
Nicoscene PLUS: Four distance wins, handles all track conditions, has won two times from three third up runs. D 1.25
  MINUS: Can get back.    
Sistine Demon PLUS: Seven good track wins, huge first up run when wide and checked. E 1.5
  MINUS: One win from seven distance runs.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 12 December 2015
Flemington 6 Plenary Group Handicap 2000m
Flemington 7 AVHPA Vic Trophy 1600m
Flemington 8 Western Health Foundation Handicap 1200m
Flemington 9 Metricon Trophy 1700m
Go to Quaddie Picker
EXOTICS Western Health Foundation Handicap 1200m
Exacta

A: 1 9

B: 1 3 4 7 9

Trifecta

A: 1 9

B: 1 3 4 7 9

C: 1 3 4 7 9 10 13 14

First Four

A: 1 9

B: 1 3 4 7 9

C: 1 3 4 7 9 10 13 14

D: 1 3 4 7 9 10 13 14

Go to Exotics Picker
100% UP TO 5 BTC BONUS!