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Flemington Race 9: Banjo Patterson Series Final 2600m

10/07/2015: I was fairly confident there wasn’t too much between Cadillac Mountain and De Little Engine a fortnight ago and I wasn’t wrong but I was one run off assessing their fitness to win the race. The extra one hundred metres and weight turnaround from Crafty Cruiser will make all the difference this week. On that formline Cooldini cannot be left out either as on his day it’s Flemington he loves best. Although I am struggling to see Crafty Cruiser win with 60kg I can still see him running a Flemington bottler. Of the new brigade I feel Red Fella is the improver at this distance as even though lightly raced it’s obvious he is a stayer with three wins at 2400m or longer. Leading South Australian jockey Claire Lindop must feel the same way because she has forsaken her usual book of well fancied Adelaide rides to follow Red Fella across the border.

Flemington Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 11/07/2015

RACEMAP 
Front Runners (8) Stable Star.
On Pacers (3) Red Fella, (7) Doctor Care, (12) Timikar, (13) Black Jag.
Mid Fielders (1) Crafty Cruiser, (2) Cooldini, (4) Cadillac Mountain, (9) The Donch.
Get Back (5) Gosh, (6) Ava's Delight, (10) Prizum, (11) De Little Engine, (14) Westsouthwest.
PACE COMMENTS With the strong chance Stable Star will surge forward early and lead strongly and with Black Jag possibly trying to do the same we have a scenario where the pace will be good early. I have three runners sitting off the pace and they will help cart the mid fielders and get back types into the race. I suspect most runners will be suited by the pace.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Cadillac Mountain PLUS: Three good track wins, one from one distance, ready fifth up, fairly weighted. A 0
  MINUS: Gets back.    
De Little Engine PLUS: Five good track wins, has won within 50m this distance, also ready fifth up and fairly weighted. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Cooldini PLUS: Three track wins thirteen runs, four wins around this distance. C 1
  MINUS: Had his chance fifth up last run.    
Red Fella PLUS: Three wins around this distance, three good track wins, C Lindop aboard, drops 4kg. D 1.5
  MINUS: Class rise.    
Crafty Cruiser PLUS: All eleven wins at 2300m or longer, loves Flemington. E 2.5
  MINUS: Not well weighted without claim.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 11 July 2015
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Flemington 9 Banjo Patterson Series Final 2600m
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