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Flemington Race 9: Emirates Airlines Handicap 1400m

06/11/2015: It's difficult to knock Malaguerra's form this campaign and the quick backup from the Freedman stable suggests the camp is strong on the chances of another win. Java didn't finish that far behind Dilmah Earl Grey Stakes winner The Quarterback on Oaks Day when first up and clearly needing the run and he will improve dramatically. The possibility of a wet track is a possible issue but trust this stable if they run him. Reldas is a Moonee Valley horse but he has only had one run at Flemington and I am reluctant to bag him too quickly. If the track favours run on types he can win this race. Mirage, like Java, didn't finish too far from The Quarterback last start and is expected to improve second up. He races well fresh with three of his five wins first and second up. Ulmann is not a favourite of mine, nor punters for that matter, but he finished about 2.5 lengths behind Coronation Shallan and Under The Louvre in the Moonga Stakes and this race is certainly within his range. Timeless Prince is a mudlark, who has placed ten times from thirteen wet track runs, down from Gosford and if the track is still rain affected by the last race he comes into play for the exotics at huge odds.

Flemington Race 9. Track Condition: SOFT (5). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:40, 07/11/2015

RACEMAPEmirates Airlines Handicap 1400m
Front Runners (1) Ashdam, (7) Malaguerra, (12) Longeron.
On Pacers (5) Java, (9) Flow Meter, (13) Mirage, (14) Sadaqa.
Mid Fielders (2) Ulmann, (3) Gracious Prospect, (4) Staviva.
Get Back (6) Chile Express, (8) Good Value, (10) Reldas, (11) Manapine, (15) Timeless Prince.
PACE COMMENTS With Ashdam, Longeron and Malaguerra going forward early and the on pacers Java, Flow Meter, Mirage and Sadaqa also likely to keep the front runners honest has me believing the pace will be genuine. Again it all depends on how the track plays as well so I repeat my warning to try and judge what's happening in the early races before taking quadrellas.
CHANCESEmirates Airlines Handicap 1400mOrderMargin
Malaguerra PLUS: Six wins from thirteen race starts, handles wet and dry, quick back up from Tuesday positive sign. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Mirage PLUS: Two from four at distance, three times in the quinella from three wet track runs, improver. B 0.25
  MINUS: Nil.    
Java PLUS: Needed last run off a break, gets good run off pace, distance not an issue. C 0.75
  MINUS: No wet track form.    
Reldas PLUS: Seeking a hat trick of wins this campaign, two wins from four distance runs. D 1
  MINUS: Wet track query, gets back.    
Ulmann PLUS: Form around Under The Louvre, Smokin' Joey in Queensland, distance not a problem. E 1.5
  MINUS: No wet track form, gets back, hard to catch for a win.    
Timeless Prince PLUS: Mudlark visitor from Gosford, four wins at the distance. F 2
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 7 November 2015
Flemington 6 Darley Classic 1200m
Flemington 7 Emirates Stakes 1600m
Flemington 8 Presto Matriarch Stakes 2000m
Flemington 9 Emirates Airlines Handicap 1400m
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