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Flemington Race 9: Flemington Handicap BM84 1600m

19/02/2015: Winston Drive was off 28 days last start and after being a fraction wide his run finished close to the post and it’s fair to suggest improvement is on the cards. By the same token he has serious competition from Marli Magic, whose win at Moonee Valley was strong beating a good horse in Arena Rock, and Quicksilver Lass, who just lasted from the fast finishing Berrimilla. If you add the win by Inishowen to the mix, even though she is dropping back in distance, you find this is one tough race. Oh, I haven’t mentioned It’s One who beat Inishowen easily three runs ago and ran third to Quicksilver Lass and Berrimilla nor Sense And Reason who ran third to Choose and Winston Drive. Hell, what a race! Take them all in the quaddie.

Flemington Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 17:50, 21/02/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Marli Magic, (4) Winston Drive, (10) Pindan Pearl.
Mid Fielders (2) Arianne, (3) Baremin, (5) Petite Diablesse, (13) Sense And Reason, (14) Quicksilver Lass.
Get Back (6)Good Music, (7) Hi Design, (8) Inishowen, (9) Zazparella, (11) Berrimilla, (12) It's One.
PACE COMMENTS After three races with fairly easy race maps to construct here we go with a race with in running problems. Firstly, I have no proven, regular leader thus my on pacers are now the front runners, a situation some of them might not be used to. This can be a recipe for disaster but then again it might not make any difference. Perhaps Quicksilver Lass and Sense And Reason will try to lead as what have they to lose from their wide barriers. However, perhaps the stable will suggest they drop back early and see what happens. An impossible race pace wise.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Winston Drive PLUS: Two from two quinella at distance, needed last run off 28 days, possible leader on pace worst. A 0
  MINUS: One win from eight good tracks, two wins eleven career runs.    
Marli Magic PLUS: Zero seven wet tracks, on pacer possible leader, 2kg claim helps. B 0.25
  MINUS: Off month break at this distance not easy.    
Quicksilver Lass PLUS: Two wins from last three caught wide when fourth, one from one distance. 3kg really helps. C 0.5
  MINUS: Might drop back wide barrier.    
Inishowen PLUS: Flemington winner last start, 2kg claim assists cause. D 0.75
  MINUS: Drops back in distance, two wins fifteen career runs.    
It's One PLUS: Meets Quicksilver Lass 2kg better, strong finish last run E 1
  MINUS: Often slow out no help, yet to place here from four runs.    
Berrimilla PLUS: Huge finish last start as little unlucky in straight, C Waller trained, D Oliver sticks. F 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back with 58kg, long time since win, only three career wins, one from thirteen good tracks.    
Sense And Reason PLUS: Wide fair bit of trip last start so possibly unlucky. G 1.5
  MINUS: Two from four soft tracks two from eleven dry tracks, meets Winston Drive 1kg worse.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Petite Diabless (off 35 days this distance), Zazparella (not racing well enough, place at best), Baremin (was wide to Quicksilver Lass but beaten 6.3 lengths), Pindan Pearl (struggles this class).
OUTCLASSED Good Music, High Design, Arianne.
Quadrella Race# Flemington 21 February 2015
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