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Flemington Race 9: Hong Kong Jockey Club Trophy 1200m

19/02/2016: Onerous landed the bacon for us last start and there is no major reason to suggest the grey cannot win for us again as the win had a hint of strength to it. Supido is the new kid on the block and his win at this track had a touch of arrogance to it as well suggesting he is worth following. I have Onerous just ahead of Supido because the former will be ahead of the latter with two hundred metres to go. It should be enough. I am no fan of Lonrockstar as a betting proposition but at the weights he does receive his chance to beat Onerous thus be a chance of beating Supido, just. If he does it will be in the last two strides of the race. I am struggling to add any other genuine chances to be quite honest.

Flemington Race 9. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:22, 20/02/2016

RACEMAPHong Kong Jockey Club Trophy 1200m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Onerous, (5) Henwood, (4) Flow Meter, (9) Hard Stride, (13) Rough Justice.
Mid Fielders (3) Supido, (6) Jimando, (7) We've Got This, (8) Tansy, (10) Jimando, (14) Windjammer.
Get Back (2) Lonrockstar, (11) Yesterday's Songs, (12) Sweet As Bro.
PACE COMMENTS Without a clear leader the lead is up for grabs from basically who wants it from my five on pacers. Most likely it will be Hard Stride but there's no guarantee. With all the action near the lead I suspect the pace will be solid enough for most runners. Just accept it is one of those races where you just keep the likes of Lonrockstar and Yesterday’s Songs safe if the odds are worth while.
CHANCESHong Kong Jockey Club Trophy 1200mOrderMargin
Onerous PLUS: Five wins in an eleven starts career, track and distance winner, three distance wins. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Supido PLUS: Two wins from two straight track runs, handles all track conditions,genuine improver. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back to mid field but can sprint hard.    
Lonrockstar PLUS: Runs well at the track and distance without winning, weighted to be a top chance, five seconds at the distance. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back giving a huge start.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 20 February 2016
Flemington 6 CS Hayes Stakes 1400m
Flemington 7 Black Caviar Lightning Stakes 1000m
Flemington 8 Ascot Racecourse Trophy 1400m
Flemington 9 Hong Kong Jockey Club Trophy 1200m
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EXOTICS Hong Kong Jockey Club Trophy 1200m
Exacta

A: 9

B: 12 5

Trifecta

A: 9

B: 12 5

C: 3

First Four

A: 9

B: 12 5

C: 3

D: 1 2 6 7

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