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Flemington Race 9: Leilani Series Final 1400m

8/07/2016: Pretty keen on Forgeress on an each way basis here in the last and if by chance the track is heavy her chances will just about double. Yet to win past 1300m which she won 2 runs back on heavy ground at Sandown, but just might be looking for the 1400m now at this stage of her career. Found the line really well late at Caulfield over 1200m last time and has been racing really well of late. A Lotta Love was the winner of that 1200m race at Caulfield and has won 3 from 5 over the 1400m and is the obvious danger. Has good career win rate and was place at Group 3 level 3 runs back in Adelaide. Highly talented and will take some beating. She's Clean will appreciate the return to her own gender here after only a 0.4 length defeat by Jacquinot Bay over this distance at her last run. That was her best effort for some time and could be nearing beat again in which she was very competitive at mares Group level. Sea Spray is the value runner here and put in an eye catching performance when 2.7 lengths behind A Lotta Love when held up in straight. Goes well this distance and a must for the Exotics. Telopea has strong record this distance and rounds out the main chances. Draws well and doesn't have to improve too much on recent good placings to be a major threat in this.

Flemington Race 9. Track Condition: SOFT (7). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEST 16:45, 09/07/2016

RACEMAPLeilani Series Final 1400m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (1) Belaruski, (2) To Be Honest, (6) Telopea, (9) A Lotta Love, (11) Vibrant Rouge.
Mid Fielders (3) She's Clean, (5) Niminypiminy.
Get Back (4) Sea Spray, (7) Young Nicola, (8) Nadeem Lass, (10) Forgeress.
PACE COMMENTS This is one of those races where we do not have a defined front runner therefore all we can do is extend the on pacers towards the front running position. On that basis we have five possible, but not certain, horses vying for the leaders position which, all told, should create enough pace early to suggest this race will be fairly run. I would not be worrying too much if I liked a get back type as that early envisaged battle should help more than hinder.
CHANCESLeilani Series Final 1400mOrderMargin
Forgeress PLUS: Strong laste last time, loves heavy going, racing well of late. A 0
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1300m.    
A Lotta Love PLUS: Strong record this distance, last start winner, placed Grp 3 level. B 0.25
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
She's Clean PLUS: Best form nearly wins this, showed a return last run, strong record at distance. C 0.75
  MINUS: Beaten last 9 runs.    
Sea Spray PLUS: Goes well this distance, unlucky last time when closed late, runner up twice this track. D 2
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Telopea PLUS: Strong record this distance, narrowly beaten last 2 runs,draws well. E 2.5
  MINUS: Yet to win past BM 78.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 9 July 2016
Flemington 6 Banjo Paterson Series Final 2600m
Flemington 7 VRC-CRV Winter Championship Final 1600m
Flemington 8 A.R. Creswick Series Final 1200m
Flemington 9 Leilani Series Final 1400m
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EXOTICS Leilani Series Final 1400m
Exacta

A: 1 3 4 8

B: 1 3 4 8

Trifecta

A: 1 3 4 5 8

B: 1 3 4 5 8

C: 1 3 4 5 8

First Four

A: 1 3 4

B: 1 3 4 5 8

C: 1 3 4 5 8

D: 1 3 4 5 7 8

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