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Flemington Race 9: Leilani Series Heat Four 1400m

26/06/2015: This is a very tricky race in that there are two types of runners to consider: the proven horses at the top of the weights and the improvers, La Passe and Forgeress, from the current lower grades who will improve but whether it’s today is another matter. With the 3kg claim Sino Eagle appeals the most based on his luckless run last start when badly held up behind Good Value (my selection in Race 8) and company. Whistle Baby was wide for a fair part of the journey behind Flash Of Doubt at the tighter Moonee Valley track and she has shown a liking for Flemington’s bigger spaces. Miss Rose De Lago hasn’t raced for one month and normally that’s a concern but she did fight hard to win first up and perhaps the break was planned. Jessy Belle, normally a fighter, hasn’t quite shown the same tenacity this preparation by winning races but her runs haven’t been hopeless either and with C Williams aboard here’s her chance. Nautical is a bit of a non winner but she was a shade unlucky start. She’s at the crossroads and needs to finish off her races.

Flemington Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 16:40, 27/06/2015

Front Runners (16) Carashan Girl.
On Pacers (4) Sino Eagle, (5) Judicial Rock, (9) Miss Rose De Lago, (10) Pathways, (15) Mamwaazel.
Mid Fielders (2) Oh So Assertive, (6) Forgeress, (11) Jessy Belle, (13) Whistle Baby.
Get Back (1) Iteration, (3) Moulin, (7) La Passe, (8) Nautical, (12) Niminypiminy, (14) Nippinski.
PACE COMMENTS For mine Carashan Girl speeds over from out wide with Judicial Rock possibly trying to lead but will most likely ease back with my other on pacers. With about six horses near the lead I am assuming the pace will good enough for those back in the field.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Sino Eagle PLUS: Three from nine at distance, two track wins, unlucky last run, 3 kg claim most helpful. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Whistle Baby PLUS: Three from nine at distance, two track wins, wide last run forgive. B 0.5
  MINUS: Can get back.    
Miss Rose De Lago PLUS: Five good track wins, 2 kg claim helps, can sit on pace. C 1
  MINUS: Twenty eight days break.    
Jessy Belle PLUS: Three good track wins, distance not issue with 1500 to 1600m wins, C Williams rides. D 2
  MINUS: Slight concern barrier and fighting ability, at cross roads of career.    
Nautical PLUS: Unlucky last run, Miss Rosa De Lago form line two runs ago. E 3
  MINUS: One from ten distance, one from eight track, another at crossroad.    
RISKY Mamwaazel, Pathways, Judicial Rock, Iteration, La Passe, Forgeress.
OUTCLASSED Carashan Girl, Oh So Assertive, Moulin, Nippinski.
Quadrella Race# Flemington 27 June 2015
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Flemington 9 Leilani Series Heat Four 1400m
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