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Flemington Race 9: Midwest Bellarine Handicap 1100m

24/06/2016: Deep race with many chances. Tipping former Sydney galloper Alberto Magic will derive great benefit from his first look down the straight course here at Flemington when he finished 3rd to General Truce last time out over 1000m. Probably better suited at the 1100m where he has won 3 and placed twice from 6. Has won at Group 3 level and great winning strike rate. Reldas should also appreciate the extra 100m on offer here and drawn wide by this time of the day may be an advantage. Has strong 2nd up figures and should be charging late. Strong each way chance at good odds. Odyssey Moon was a last start winner this class at Sandown and has raced well against better fields than this in the past. Beaten less than a length here 2 runs back over 1200m and wouldn't have to improve too much on that performance to be a major threat in this. Ruettiger rises in grade but has good record over the 1100m. Good effort in strong BM 90 two runs back at Morphettville and not suited heavy conditions last time. Can be around the mark at big odds. Bullpit continues to race well down the straight and again must come under consideration, whilst Rich Jack has good strike rates in lower grades and should be included by those going wide in their Exotics.

Flemington Race 9. Track Condition: SOFT (6). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 16:40, 25/06/2016

RACEMAPMidwest Bellarine Handicap 1100m
Front Runners (1) Majestic Duke, (3) Rich Jack, (4) Bullpit, (14) Runsati.
On Pacers (2) Berlutti, (10) Odyssey Moon, (11) Heart Testa, (16) Hard Romp, (19) Heart Of A Lion, (20) Mirage.
Mid Fielders (6) Alberto Magic, (7) General Truce, (8) Ruettiger, (12) Olivier, (17) Hosting.
Get Back (5) Our Nkwazi, (15) Reldas, (18) Atmospherical.
PACE COMMENTS There is absolutely no concern about the pace in this race. I have four confirmed, regular front runners who can lead most fields if so desired. Sitting behind them is a host of on pacers ready to pounce at the 200m mark which then sets up the last 100m for the back markers. Normally I would be bagging the chances of the back markers but not in this race, especially if the outside section of the track has shown during the day to be an area worth racing on.
CHANCESMidwest Bellarine Handicap 1100mOrderMargin
Alberto Magic PLUS: Strong winning strike rate, strong record at distance, will benefit from last run. A 0
  MINUS: Still has to prove himself anti clockwise.    
Reldas PLUS: Extra 100m here a plus, good strike rates, winner Listed level. B 1.25
  MINUS: Beaten all 3 runs down the straight.    
Odyssey Moon PLUS: Proven this level, Grp 3 placed, last start winner. C 1.75
  MINUS: Beaten both runs this track.    
Ruettiger PLUS: Good strike rates, goes well this distance. D 2.25
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Bullpit PLUS: Racing well down the straight recently, goes well this distance, proven this level. E 2.75
  MINUS: Only 1 win in 8 this track.    
Rich Jack PLUS: Good strike rates, goes well this distance. F 3
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 25 June 2016
Flemington 6 Western Otway Handicap 1600m
Flemington 7 David Bourke Provincial Plate 1600m
Flemington 8 Wimmera & Murray Mallee Handicap 2500m
Flemington 9 Midwest Bellarine Handicap 1100m
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EXOTICS Midwest Bellarine Handicap 1100m
Exacta

A: 1 2 15 20

B: 1 2 15 20

Trifecta

A: 1 2 11 15 20

B: 1 2 11 15 20

C: 1 2 11 15 20

First Four

A: 1 2 15

B: 1 2 11 15 20

C: 1 2 11 15 20

D: 1 2 11 15 20

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