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Flemington Race 9: Mss Security Sprint 1200m

2/11/2015: Quite keen on the chances of Griante at nice each way odds in this event. Griante should enjoy a tidy class relief here dropping back to Listed level coming off two recent Group 1 performances. This mare put in a terrific effort two runs back in the Moir Stakes at Moonee Valley when only 1.6 lengths adrift of Buffering really attacking the line hard late, then beaten 4.8 lengths in hot Group 1 at same track behind Chautauqua. Looks a huge threat in this. Kuro drops back from Group 2 level and although very poor last time when only beat one home, is high class at best and was placed at only run here down the straight course. A much better performance predicted this time. Afleet Esprit goes well this course and is a winner at Group 2 level, ran home well last time after missing the start and although this task looks a bit tougher has produced a win and a 3rd in two runs here. Gregers is top class at best but has been beaten at her last 11 runs. Did perform well here 3 runs back when only narrowly beaten in 3 way go, drops in grade and looks well placed for best chance for a return to the winners stall. Sarajevo has plenty of ability but also seem to have plenty of issues. Has had more barrier trials than race starts and if he can find somewhere around career best would rate very highly in this field.

Flemington Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 16:35, 03/11/2015

RACEMAPMss Security Sprint 1200m
Front Runners (17) Countryman, (2) Villopoto, (4) Charmed Harmony.
On Pacers (12) Kuro, (5) Sea Lord, (9) Fast And Free, (15) Pago Rock, (6) Gregers.
Mid Fielders (7) The Thief, (11) Afleet Esprit, (18) Griante, (16) The Monstar, (8) Mandla, (1) Colors Of The Wind.
Get Back (13) Kaepernick, (14) Sarajevo, (10) We're Gonna Rock, (3) Nautical.
PACE COMMENTS Looks plenty of early pressure in this race with 3 designated front runners and 4 strong on pace runners, so slick early sectionals are on the cards. Kuro will be well fancied and should right up there and have open running down the middle of the track. Gregers expected to race prominent throughout. It will be interesting to see what option Oliver takes on Countryman who may end up leading a group down the Grandstand side of the track. Pace assessment here is genuine to fast.
CHANCESMss Security Sprint 1200mOrderMargin
Griante PLUS: Drops in grade, good record this distance, top effort Grp 1 level 2 runs back. A 0
  MINUS: Has been beaten last 8 runs, unplaced only run here.    
Kuro PLUS: Placed twice at Grp 1 level, goes well this distance, drops in grade. B 0.75
  MINUS: Very poor last time when 2nd last.    
Afleet Esprit PLUS: Winner Grp 2 level, goes well this track, dual winner this distance. C 2
  MINUS: Much tougher task here than last time.    
Gregers PLUS: Grp 1 placed, top class at best. D 2.25
  MINUS: Beaten last 11 runs.    
Sarajevo PLUS: Run a couple of top races in much stronger company, not much luck last time. E 2.75
  MINUS: Seems to have issues, unplaced all 3 second up runs.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 3 November 2015
Flemington 7 Emirates Melbourne Cup 3200m
Flemington 8 James Boag's Symphony Stakes 1800m
Flemington 9 Mss Security Sprint 1200m
Flemington 10 Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes 1400m
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