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Flemington Race 9: Paris Lane Stakes 1400m

02/10/2015: Statistic wise it is difficult to go past Lord Aspen as the A selection and the only worry should be a lack of fitness at the distance first up. His only defeat occurred when mucous was discovered post race and he was caught wide as well. Just the same I am seeking each way odds. Ulmann has fitness in his favour and he is a close second pick especially based on his top run behind Group winning horse Smokin’ Joey in the Eye Liner Stakes. Worthy Cause showed he is up to this grade with his strong run to Churchill Dancer and Under The Louvre, both of whom would be top chances in this race. Turn Me Loose is a difficult horse to assess as the strength of the New Zealand Group 1 and Group 2 races varies so much. As he is lightly raced and the classic improver I am slotting him in on potential.

Flemington Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 17:25, 04/10/2015

RACEMAPParis Lane Stakes 1400m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (4) Guest Of Honour, (7) Chivalry, (11) Rugged Cross, (18) Good Value.
Mid Fielders (2) Ulmann, (3) Gamblin' Guru, (5) Worthy Cause, (12) Tashbeeh, (13) Yesterday's Song, (16) Turn Me Loose.
Get Back (1) Scream Machine, (6) Orient Line, (9) Trade Commissioner, (10) Tall Ship, (14) Mister Milton, (15) Richie's Vibe, (17) Setinum, (19) October Date, (20) Sir Andrew.
PACE COMMENTS Goodness gracious! What is going to happen in this race? I do not have a recognized leader and with five on pacers and six mid fielders it is anyone's guess as to who will lead. However if forced I would suggest Lord Aspen is the most likely leader of my on pacers but whether the stable really wants to push him early is another thing. Tread warily and seek around the $6 mark as a minimum requirement: it's that type of race.
CHANCESParis Lane Stakes 1400mOrderMargin
Lord Aspen PLUS: Sensational statistics, only defeat through mucous issues when wide as well. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Ulmann PLUS: Distance and track conditions suit for lightly raced improver, top run first up . B 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back in the run.    
Worthy Cause PLUS: Two wins from three distance runs, needed last run off month break. C 0.75
  MINUS: Sometimes drops back early.    
Turn Me Loose PLUS: Two wins from three good track runs, distance no issue, unbeaten second up. D 1.25
  MINUS: Wide barrier second up off 36 days.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 4 October 2015
Flemington 6 The Bart Cummings Handicap 2520m
Flemington 7 Turnbull Stakes 2000m
Flemington 8 Blazer Stakes 1400m
Flemington 9 Paris Lane Stakes 1400m
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