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Flemington Race 9: VRC Recognition Handicap 1100m

22/07/2016: This is easily the toughest of the legs and the winner may be well hidden. Going with Runson who has won 3 from 6 and was only beaten just over 2 lengths this class and track 2 runs back when had respiratory issues. Took no harm from that and bounced back last time to win on the Geelong synthetic very easily in small field. Each way in a tough race. Ability races well fresh and comes off a winning trial for his return to track and rates well in this. Looked most unlucky last time at Caulfield when unable to get clear running in the concluding stages. Badajoz was placed at Group 3 level a couple of preps ago but form has tapered since and has been consistently beat at lower levels until last win on heavy ground at Randwick. Yet to win on firm going which is a concern. If sting is out of ground come this race then chances will be enhanced. Manihi Mischief could be the Exotics booster and has won 3 from 6 at lower levels. Won 2 from 3 when racing 1st up in the past and could be the knockout here on resumption again. Tyrannize is a winner this track and is another which rates in a wide race. Last 2 runs here have been good and will race forward and be in this for a long way. World Of Hope has won 3 from 8 and has raced without luck in her past 3 outings. Definite chance with any luck against this lot.

Flemington Race 9. Track Condition: SOFT (7). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEST 16:55, 23/07/2016

RACEMAPVRC Recognition Handicap 1100m
Front Runners (3) Prussian Vixen, (4) Tyrannize.
On Pacers (1) Vinnie Vega, (5) Runsen, (9) Ruth's Bay, (10) Ability, (11) Thielburg, (12) Manihi Mischief, (13) Hoplites.
Mid Fielders (2) Badajoz, (6) World Of Hope, (7) Schillie Billie, (14) Truculent.
Get Back (8) Astro Castro.
PACE COMMENTS The past in running positions for most of this field, bar two runners, are based on turning tracks and here we have a straight course for the field to negotiate. If all the runners run up to their usual in running positions we will have a solid enough pace to cause little concern with Prussian Vixen and Tyrannize the most likely, but not guaranteed leaders. Off this duo there are seven possible leaders if any of them jump brilliantly. This sort of scenario means it is "game on" at about the 300 metre mark for those camped off the lead to make their moves. This will ensure a chance for the mid fielders to win hence do not worry about pace in this race.
CHANCESVRC Recognition Handicap 1100mOrderMargin
Runson PLUS: Won 3 from 6, had issues when beaten here 2 runs back. A 0
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Ability PLUS: Goes well fresh, recent trial winner, most unlucky last time at Caulfield. B 0.5
  MINUS: Unplaced only other run this track.    
Badajoz PLUS: Placed at Grp 3 level, last start winner, in form rider. C 1
  MINUS: Needs soft ground?, rises in grade.    
Manihi Mischief PLUS: Won 3 from 6, races right up on speed. D 1.5
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Tyrannize PLUS: Won 2 placed 2 from 8, winner this track. E 2.75
  MINUS: Yet to place past BM 78.    
World Of Hope PLUS: Won 3 from 8, strong record this distance. F 3.25
  MINUS: Rises in class.    
Quadrella Race# Flemington 23 July 2016
Flemington 6 Bruce Gadsden BM90 1200m
Flemington 7 Bitalli Handicap 2500m
Flemington 8 Flemington Event Staff BM90 1600m
Flemington 9 VRC Recognition Handicap 1100m
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EXOTICS VRC Recognition Handicap 1100m
Exacta

A: 1 4 5 6

B: 1 4 5 6

Trifecta

A: 1 4 5 6 10

B: 1 4 5 6 10

C: 1 4 5 6 10

First Four

A: 1 4 5 6

B: 1 4 5 6

C: 1 4 5 6 10 11

D: 1 4 5 6 10 11

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