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Gold Coast Race 8: Sky Thoroughbred A.D. Hollindale Stakes 1800m

24/04/2015: Arabian Gold drops in grade here after running a top race in the Group 1 Doncaster at Randwick. This talented mare should relish the step up in distance of this event and excels on wet ground. Has drawn perfectly and looks an outstanding each way proposition. Silent Achiever is a class act on her day and this Cox Plate placed mare despite having not won for a year will be well suited by the conditions on offer in this and can easily recapture winning form. Pornichet was luckless in the Doncaster and will be much better suited in this event. Handles wet ground and has won up to 2000m. Sir Moments is winner at Group 2 level and has a fine winning strike rate. Has won 2 from 4 this track and if can overcome wide draw can certainly figure amongst the placings. Hawkspur has good record this distance and although hasn't won for a long time, recent placings suggest another win isn't far off. Leebaz, Moriarty and Escado all have place chances.

Gold Coast Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 15:52, 25/04/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (5) Leebaz.
On Pacers (5) Banca Mo, (2) Hooked, (8) Aomen.
Mid Fielders (13) Silent Achiever, (9) Sir Moments, (12) Rudy, (1) Escado, (6) Arabian Gold, (7) Wish Come True, (18) Pornichet, (17) Hopfgarten.
Get Back (16) Green Moon, (11) Foreteller, (10) Moriarty, (15) Precedence, (3) Hawkspur, (14) I'm Imposing.
PACE COMMENTS No real regular front runner in this race but we're tipping the Leebaz will take up the pacemakers role from a good draw in gate 5. Both Banca Mo and Hooked should get cosy runs just in behind Leebaz. Arabian Gold has also drawn well but is likely to find herself in a mid field position on settling. A host of backmarkers in this might not be suited by what could possibly be only a moderate pace here.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Arabian Gold PLUS: Drops in grade, excels in wet ground, drawn well. A 0
  MINUS: Best form has been against own sex.    
Silent Achiever PLUS: Proven performer this level,handles all types of going, always close up at top level. B 1
  MINUS: Hasn't won for a year, unplaced both runs this distance.    
Pornichet PLUS: Drops in grade, has won up to 2000m, goes well soft ground. C 1.5
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
Sir Moments PLUS: Has good winning strike rate, winner Group 2 level, goes well this track. D 2.25
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1630m.    
Hawkspur PLUS: Good record this distance, handles any ground,last runs showed ready to win again. E 3.75
  MINUS: Hasn't won for a long time.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Hooked (distance query).
OUTCLASSED Green Moon, Precedence, Foreteller, Banca Mo, Aomen, I'm Imposing, Rudy, Wish Come True, Hopfgarten.
Quadrella Race# Gold Coast 25 April 2015
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