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Gold Coast Race 8: Tattersall's 150th Anniversary Stakes 1200m

19/06/2015: Into The Red was caught wide last run thus the half length defeat was quite solid behind Excellantes. The problem is he isn't always the cleanest beginner but I am taking him on trust from his favourable barrier. If Target In Sight starts relatively cleanly, because he can miss the kick too, he is a serious danger to Into The Red, on his Deep Field form line for starters. Forgive his last run because he was caught wide and was also in the worst going out wide. The run before he was off 28 days, so there's a slight forgive there and the run before that he was unlucky in the Hall Mark Stakes. Kaepernick has heaps of ability but he is one of those horses that frustrate punters but in this even affair he has to be considered a top chance as well. Office Bearer hasn't won a race this racing season from seven runs however considering spell breaks it seems there have been problems bar this preparation when both runs have been solid efforts. He is a top chance also. Territory was held up first up and although he has a poor one from seven second up record looking back a few runs with close finishes to Ball Of Muscle and Weary suggests he is a good chance in this weaker affair. Enquare is massive overs on her second up run last campaign when second to Forever Loved at Flemington though that was against her own sex. She didn't fire first up and was outclassed last start and with two wins from four in the wet don’t be surprised if she at least places.

Gold Coast Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:32, 20/06/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (10) Excellantes, (12) Rocket To Glory.
On Pacers (1) Territory, (4) Into The Red, (5) Final Crescendo, (6) Lesley's Choice.
Mid Fielders (2) Office Bearer, (7) Enquare, (11) Dothraki, (13) Dances On Stars, (15) Whittington.
Get Back (3) Target In Sight, (8) Time To Plunder, (9) Kaepernick, (16) Star Lady.
PACE COMMENTS All things being equal, as some of the on pacers don't always jump perfectly, I believe the pace of the race will be solid enough to be fair to most runners with ability more the issue.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Into The Red PLUS: Five from twelve distance, three from ten wet. A 0
  MINUS: One from six wet, one second four track runs, inconsistent beginner.    
Target In Sight PLUS: Five from twelve distance, three from ten wet. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back.    
Kaepernick PLUS: One from three wet, five from five quinella distance with two wins. C 0.5
  MINUS: Gets back most runs.    
Office Bearer PLUS: Five from eighteen career, one from two wet. D 0.75
  MINUS: Zero from seven this season needs to lift.    
Territory PLUS: Held up first up, Group placed last preparation, two heavy track wins. E 1.5
  MINUS: Forty race starts rising eight year old second up., one from seven second up.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Excellantes (will have to work from barrier 10 with 58kg in wet), Dothraki (issues with 58kg on wet track off 35 days), Rocket To Glory (one from seven wet track with 58kg), Dances On Stars (one from eight wet with 57kg), Whittington (distance issue), Final Crescendo (struggling and off 42 days), Lesley's Choice (mare versus males slightly up in grade, risk in wet).
OUTCLASSED Time To Plunder, Star Lady.
Quadrella Race# Gold Coast 20 June 2015
Gold Coast 5 Southbank Insurance Brokers Quality 1800m
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Gold Coast 8 Tattersall's 150th Anniversary Stakes 1200m
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