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Hawkesbury Race 5: Darley Crown 2015 1300m

01/05/2015: This looks a pretty tough affair on paper and hard to tip any one runner with any degree of confidence. We'll chance our arm here and select Solicit on an each way basis to find her top class form of a couple of preparations ago. Recently transferred to Gerald Ryan Solicit won a recent trial after finishing a long last in a 1600m event at Randwick when exhibited poor post race recovery. This mare is top class at best and handles any type of going, will find the lead here and if can recapture form will give them something to catch. Rose Of Choice races well fresh and loves this distance, placed this grade several times and should run well. Peron hasn't won for a long time but when on song can produce big finish. Should be charging late. Vergara faces a steep class rise but did bolt in last time. Has good winning strike rate and could run boldly in this better class race. Peace Force, Calming Influence, My Sabeel and Fine Bubbles all rate some sort of place chance.

Hawkesbury Race 5. RaceTime: AEST 14:40, 02/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (10) Solicit.
On Pacers (11) Mamwaazel, (14) Peace Force, (7) Calming Influence, (9) Vergara.
Mid Fielders (2) Copy, (5) Bound For Earth, (8) Rose Of Choice, (6) Transfers.
Get Back (3) Villa Splendido, (12) All Cerise, (13) Fine Bubbles, (15) My Sabeel, (4) Peron, (1) Belle De Cour.
PACE COMMENTS It is expected that Solicit will cross from gate 10 and take up her usual front running role. There are only 2 runners in single figures in early markets and both will get back, particularly Peron with Rose Of Choice who is expected to settle in a mid field position. Both however shouldn't be disadvantaged by the pace which should be genuine, given the on pace brigade who should push Solicit along at a genuine rate.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Solicit PLUS: Proven Group performer, handles all types of going, recent trial winner, should get easy lead. A 0
  MINUS: Hasn't won for quite a while, drawn a little wide.    
Rose Of Choice PLUS: Placed twice this level, good winning strike rate, races well fresh. B 0.75
  MINUS: Yet to win past listed level, unplaced only run on soft ground.    
Peron PLUS: Right up to this level on best form, has big finish when right, drawn well, handles soft ground. C 1.25
  MINUS: Hasn't won for some time, can get a long way back in races.    
Vergara PLUS: Bolted in weaker grade race last time, goes well this track, handles soft ground. D 3.25
  MINUS: Big rise in class.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Copy (class rise).
OUTCLASSED Bound For Earth, Mamwaazel, Belle De Cour, All Cerise, Transfers, Villa Splendido.
Quadrella Race# Hawkesbury 2 May 2015
Hawkesbury 5 Darley Crown 2015 1300m
Hawkesbury 6 Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup 1600m
Hawkesbury 7 Blacktown Workers Hawkesbury Guineas 1400m
Hawkesbury 8 Blakes Marine BM80 1500m
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