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Hawkesbury Race 6: Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup 1600m

01/05/2015: Another really tough affair with a host of chances. Strawberry Boy is unbeaten in both runs this track and has won 2 from 3 at the distance. If he find the lead without too much effort from wide gate he should give them something to run down. Strawberry Boy was just swamped late last time over 1400m and should appreciate the step up to 1600m in this, has won 3 times on soft ground. Ecuador put in a mighty performance after an extended break and if he has shaken off any affects of that run looms as a huge danger. Has won up to 1800m and won 2 from 3 on soft ground. Bagman is another who need to overcome an awkward draw, but is proven at this level and is a 3 time winner this distance. Dropping back sharply in distance but coming off a 41 day freshener and can figure with luck in the run. Rugged Cross won as an outsider last time and can prove that was no fluke with a strong performance in this, some concerns with the 1600m but beat some handy one's last time. San Diego was close up in that race and has won at the 1600m, unlike many has a good draw and can figure on best form. Monton, Malice and Lucky Lago are all place chances.

Hawkesbury Race 6. RaceTime: AEST 15:20, 02/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (15) Strawberry Boy, (12) Ecuador.
On Pacers (17) Diademe, (8) Malice, (18) Phiedon, (4) Medcaut.
Mid Fielders (2) Danchai, (5) Evangelist, (16) Frespanol, (10) Flamingo Star, (13) Monton, (7) San Diego, (3) Multilateral.
Get Back (14) Bagman, (11) Surpass, (6) Rugged Cross, (1) Vilanova, (19) Lucky Lago.
PACE COMMENTS Strawberry Boy and Ecuador should provide a quick early sectional as they push forward from wide gates to adopt their usual race patterns. With a number of on pacers this should be run at a genuine to fast pace. Medcaut is fancied and has drawn ideally in gate 4 to get a charmed run in transit. The top early fancies here will all be up right on the pace.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Strawberry Boy PLUS: Unbeaten both runs this track, won 2 from 3 at distance, step up to 1600m will suit, handles wet. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn very wide.    
Ecuador PLUS: Top run after long break last time, won 2 from 3 on soft, won at 1600m. B 0.75
  MINUS: Yet to win out of restricted grade.    
Bagman PLUS: 3 time winner at 1600m, handles soft ground, proven this level. C 1.25
  MINUS: Needs to overcome sharp drop in distance.    
Rugged Cross PLUS: Last start winner beating some handy one's, goes well in wet, drawn well. D 2.25
  MINUS: Much tougher this time with class rise, yet to win past 1500m.    
San Diego PLUS: Has been placed at both Group 2 and 3 level, winner this distance, well drawn E 3.5
  MINUS: Unplaced only run on soft ground.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Flamingo Star (unknown form lines), Medcaut (appears hopeless in wet).
OUTCLASSED Phiedon, Surpass, Multilateral, Villanova, Danchai, Evangalist, Frespanol.
Quadrella Race# Hawkesbury 2 May 2015
Hawkesbury 5 Darley Crown 2015 1300m
Hawkesbury 6 Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup 1600m
Hawkesbury 7 Blacktown Workers Hawkesbury Guineas 1400m
Hawkesbury 8 Blakes Marine BM80 1500m
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