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Hawkesbury Race 7: Blacktown Workers Hawkesbury Guineas 1400m

01/05/2015: Federal comes off a strong listed win in heavy conditions at Randwick last start and is expected to extend his winning run on predicted wet ground in this. Federal has won 3 and placed 3 from 8 career runs and is from the strong John O'Shea stable with top hoop James McDonald aboard. Victorian raider Rekindled Power is showing early potential and was beaten less than a length in Group 2 company on heavy ground last time at Randwick. If he reproduces that run in this rates a huge chance. Maiden performer Proactive could deliver a knockout blow at good odds. Proactive has been runner up 3 times in a 5 start career and has shown he can handle wet conditions. From top stable and one to watch. Waterhouse runner Najoom faces a steep class rise to win a race like this but nevertheless is showing plenty of ability in lesser grades. Ygritte is a listed winner and placed at this level, hard to follow at times but rates highly if she brings her A game to the track. Bachman and Anyaas rate place chances in an open race.

Hawkesbury Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 16:00, 02/05/2015

RACEMAP(Barriers)
Front Runners (2) Like Xena.
On Pacers (1) Martine, (5) Proactive, (9) Ygritte, (4) Najoom.
Mid Fielders (3) Anyaas, (10) Federal, (12) Final Decision, (8) Makeadane, (11) Zizumba.
Get Back (6) Bachman, (7) Rekindled Power, (13) Mandalong Kiss.
PACE COMMENTS Outsider Like Xena should ping straight to the lead from gate 2. Najoom will be well fancied and should get into a nice trailing position in behind the pace from gate 4. Federal is in the top end of the market and is expected to race mid field but may have to race wide from gate 10. Rekindled Power will drop out to the trailing brigade but there looks to be enough top end speed here to at least provide a genuine tempo.
CHANCESPlus and Minus FactorsOrderMargin
Federal PLUS: Good listed winner last time on wet ground, top stable and rider. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn a bit wide.    
Rekindled Power PLUS: Beaten less than a length last time in stronger race. B 1
  MINUS: Only win to date is a Maiden.    
Proactive PLUS: Close up last time in Listed race at Flemington, races well fresh. C 1.5
  MINUS: Still a Maiden.    
Najoom PLUS: From top stable, in strong recent form at lower levels, drawn well. D 2.75
  MINUS: Faces big class rise.    
Ygritte PLUS: Has been placed at Group 3 level, handles wet ground. E 3
  MINUS: Yet to win past 1200m, form line is a bit erratic.    
RISK HORSES 
RISKY Nil.
OUTCLASSED Final Decision, Makedane, Zizumba, Mandalong Kiss, Like Xena, Martine.
Quadrella Race# Hawkesbury 2 May 2015
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