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Moonee Valley Q2 Race 9: W.S. Cox Plate 2040m

23/10/2015: From hereon the WS Cox Plate is going to be a yearly "us or them" mystery where punters will need to divide the field into two sections. I am choosing Criterion, one of "us", to beat Arod, just. Criterion's win in the Caulfield Stakes was sensational coming off 52 days and if just defeated we would still have lauded the run. The win of Mongolian Khan in the Caulfield Cup simply franks the Caulfield Stakes win. Arod is a serious racehorse with form against the world class Solow and his leader/on pace racing style, sitting off The Cleaner, reads really well for such a classy individual. Highland Reel is no slouch on the word stage having strolled in winning the same race Adelaide won last year in the US (Group 1 Secretariat) by just over five lengths. From my understanding of his running style he will be close to Arod and therefore should be in a winning position when it's game on at the 800m mark. I cannot leave Gailo Chop out of contention as his distance statistics are excellent and he too has Solow form lines which has him close to Arod ability wise. From here it is just an "on the day" situation as there isn’t too much between Fawkner, Mourinho, The Cleaner, Happy Trails and Kermadec. The horse with the most potential to rise above the previously mentioned runners is Winx. Her recent wins have been breathtaking, to say the least, and if the pace is really, really hot, and it could easily be, her last two hundred metres will be her best. As it shall always be this is a punter’s nightmare but the tension from the 800m is going to be electric and the pressure is going to be awesome. What a race.

Moonee Valley Q2 Race 9. RaceTime: AEDT 17:40, 24/10/2015

RACEMAPW.S. Cox Plate 2040m
Front Runners The Cleaner.
On Pacers Arod, Hartnell, Complacement, Pornichet, Highland Rebel, Mourinho.
Mid Fielders Criterion, Gailo Chop, Kermadec, Fawkner.
Get Back Winx, Happy Trails, Preferment.
PACE COMMENTS Look, there's nothing to worry about. This is the Cox Plate. There's the speed out of the barrier, a fraction slower pace once they go down the Dean Street side and along the back but from the 1000m some jockeys start to move and from the 800m it's on for young and old.
CHANCESW.S. Cox Plate 2040mOrderMargin
Criterion PLUS: Three distance wins, world class ratings high, great Caulfield Stakes win. A 0
  MINUS: Races mid field and will need a run.    
Arod PLUS: Unbeaten at the distance, four good track wins, sits on the pace, world class Solow's form line overseas. B 0.25
  MINUS: 87 dyas break, first run this track.    
Highland Reel PLUS: Aiden O'Brien trained, won last start Group 1 in USA. C 0.5
  MINUS: 42 days break, first run this track.    
Gailo Chop PLUS: Solow's form line similar to Arod, distance specialist, three good track wins. D 0.75
  MINUS: Possibly mid field, 36 days break, first run at the track.    
Winx PLUS: Runs freak sectionals late in races, improver of the race. E 1.25
  MINUS: Awkward barrier draw for a get back runner, mare versus males.    
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