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Moonee Valley Race 5: Antler Crockett Stakes 1200m

23/10/2015: Serene Majesty drops in grade here after a comfortable 1.5 length win at Group 3 level at Caulfield last time out. Has to overcome an awkward gate but will probably drop out early anyway, from a very astute stable and worked home strongly last time from back in the field and with clear sailing no reason why she can’t do similar here. Miss Gidget has been placed at Group 2 level and bolted in her maiden last time out at Seymour, much tougher here but can cause an upset on best form. Haybah rises sharply in grade here from last start win at Caulfield but has won at Listed level and should get a comfortable lead here. Has won this distance and could be in front for a long way. Harlem River has won this level in the past and drops in grade from last start 3rd at Group 3 level at Caulfield. Has won 1 and placed 3 from 4 career runs to date and has obvious ability. Looked to have every chance last time but can easily improve in this. Valley Sweetheart won her maiden on debut and faces a massive class hike to win this. Is from top stable however and could have plenty of ability.

Moonee Valley Race 5. RaceTime: AEDT 15:00, 24/10/2015

RACEMAPAntler Crockett Stakes 1200m
Front Runners (8) Haybah.
On Pacers (6) Positive Charge, (4) Harlem River, (9) Lake Geneva, (11) Miss Gidget.
Mid Fielders (3) Antelucan, (7) Tiz My View, (5) Valley Sweetheart, (12) Inner City Girl.
Get Back (10) Serene Majesty, (2) Northern Model, (1) Gatto's Girl (no data).
PACE COMMENTS Haybah should charge across from gate 8 here and take it up in front, like the last event, there will be enough pace on her hammer to ensure she doesn't get any cheap sectionals and a good overall tempo is expected. Race favourite Serene Tempo will most likely drop out from her widish draw but shouldn't be disadvantaged by the predicted pace here. Valley Sweetheart draws well but with plenty of pace around her may find herself racing mid field in this. Expected tempo is genuine to fast.
CHANCESAntler Crockett Stakes 1200mOrderMargin
Serene Majesty PLUS: Drops in grade, goes well this distance, won 2 placed 1 from 4. A 0
  MINUS: Drawn a bit wide.    
Miss Gidget PLUS: Placed Grp 2 level, bolted home in maiden win last time. B 1.25
  MINUS: Drawn wide, 1200m a little query.    
Haybah PLUS: Should get comfortable lead here, Listed winner, winner this distance. C 2
  MINUS: Rises sharply in grade from last time.    
Harlem River PLUS: Won 1 placed 3 from 4 runs, well drawn, Listed winner. D 3.5
  MINUS: Had every chance last time when 2.5 length 3rd.    
Valley Sweetheart PLUS: Winner only race start, well drawn, from top stable. E 3.75
  MINUS: Only just won her country maiden, big step up here.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 24 October 2015
Moonee Valley 3 Alliance Servs Fillies Classic 1600m
Moonee Valley 4 Telstra Phonewords Stakes 1200m
Moonee Valley 5 Antler Crockett Stakes 1200m
Moonee Valley 6 Moonee Valley Cup 2500m
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