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Moonee Valley Race 5: VOBIS Gold Carat 1200m

02/01/2016: Let's get one thing out of the way... I have no idea if Love Days is a budding champion, or just a well placed horse, but if you believe a horse is going to do it tough barrier wise, via your race map, then you must take them on. I have Antelucan on top simply because she is the handicapper's selection. Also the horses that have beaten her in her last two runs are reasonable "city class" three year old's. She will improve off her last run when resuming after a month long break. The favourite Love Days goes in for second for the record but you will note I am leaving her out of the exotics (for the AB position). I have jumped on to the $26 and $6 for Twisting Typhoon as he beat Tempered first up (first race start, too) and that horse fought back courageously to win a BM64 at Sandown on Wednesday. That's not conclusive form for this race but it is overs at the price. It's difficult to knock The Big Dance, but I have to take him on a fraction first up at 1200m in a race where he might be caught up in the hectic pace considering his only win was at 1000m. Just the same at $10 his odds are quite fair. Miss Gidget clearly need her run off a 39 day break and if she fires give Tykiato some extra bonus points later today.

Moonee Valley Race 5. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 16:05, 02/01/2016

RACEMAPVOBIS Gold Carat 1200m
Front Runners (5) Street Ridge, (6) The Big Dance, (8) Miss Gidget, (10) Rocky Boomboa, (11) Love Days.
On Pacers (1) Antelucan, (3) Tokyo Tycoon, (4) Snitzel Music, (7) Twisting Typhoon, (13) Downhearted.
Mid Fielders (9) Artie's Party, (12) Magna Rossa.
Get Back (2) Charlie Garcon.
PACE COMMENTS Well, this is going to be the Charge Of The Light Brigade early in the race as I have ten of the thirteen runners as the types to either lead or sit on the pace. The unbeaten filly Love Days versus the males is really going to have to work hard early to overcome her wide barrier as of the ten horses I have close early she is the second widest. This race will be won by the best ride from the most patient rider.
CHANCESVOBIS Gold Carat 1200mOrderMargin
Antelucan PLUS: Handicappers selection, needed last run off 28 days, lightly raced, distance no issue as close up at 1400m A 0
  MINUS: One win from six runs but some runs excusable.    
Love Days PLUS: Unbeaten in two runs, drops 5kg into set weights race, equal third top rated by handicapper. B 0.25
  MINUS: Has shocking barrier via study of race map.    
Twisting Typhoon PLUS: Fairly soft win at first race start, third horse won Wednesday in fighting effort, potential unlimited this stage. C 1
  MINUS: Maiden winners struggle their next runs often enough to be a worry.    
The Big Dance PLUS: Soft track flop plus spelled indicates a fair excuse, lightly raced improver, who knows her limit. D 1.25
  MINUS: First up longer distance than only first up win but perhaps a harsh call.    
Miss Gidget PLUS: Just ran out of puff last start off 39 days break, expect improvement. E 1.5
  MINUS: One win from nine runs.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 2 January 2016
Moonee Valley 5 VOBIS Gold Carat 1200m
Moonee Valley 6 WeDrive.com.au Handicap 2040m
Moonee Valley 7 City Jeep Handicap 2500m
Moonee Valley 8 William Hill Handicap 1200m
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EXOTICS VOBIS Gold Carat 1200m
Exacta

A: 1 5

B: 1 2 5 8 10

Trifecta

A: 1 5

B: 1 2 5 8 10

C: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

First Four

A: 1 5

B: 1 2 5 8 10

C: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

D: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

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