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Moonee Valley Race 7: Carlyon Stakes 1000m

21/08/2015: As per race 6, when discussing Odyssey Moon, if class alone was the issue I would be declaring Gregers as a top class bet. However, via my race map, I am a tad worried about her being caught wide and working outside of Sweet Emily, She's Elle and Il Cavallo and just running out of condition in the last fifty metres. I expect Il Cavallo to receive the perfect run off Sweet Emily’s shoulders or even allowing the front runners to dictate early. Eclair Choice is receiving many accolades for defeating Alpine Eagle in a trial which is fair enough and when you add his second to last week's winner Setinum (may I officially bless him for the win!) in the Bendigo Guineas, even though the winner was wide it, all adds up to an expected top run. Our Nkwazi loves Moonee Valley and if they rocket along early, and that’s quite possible, he will power home.

Moonee Valley Race 7. RaceTime: AEST 16:00, 22/08/2015

RACEMAPCarlyon Stakes 1000m
Front Runners (1) Sweet Emily, (8) She's Ellie.
On Pacers (2) Eclair Choice, (5) Il Cavallo, (9) Le Bonsir, (11) Gregers.
Mid Fielders (3) Tansy, (7) Just Magical, (10) Klishina, (13) Beach Front.
Get Back (4) Mr Make Believe, (6) Fast Cash, (12) Our Nkwazi.
PACE COMMENTS With Sweet Emily and She's Ellie going forward and Il Cavallo surging early to stake a positional claim the pace will be quite solid. Just off the pace will be Gregers and Eclair Choice, in perfect positions, which means Le Bonsir will need to fire up early otherwise he may end up wide and basically out of the race. Again don't be too worried about those back in the field. If they are classy enough they can be in the finish.
CHANCESCarlyon Stakes 1000mOrderMargin
Il Cavallo PLUS: Four from nine distance, five from fourteen career, four from nine wet tracks. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Gregers PLUS: Three from six track, two from three track and distance, three from five first up, weight special. B 0.5
  MINUS: Wide barrier.    
Eclair Choice PLUS: Two from four distance, one from two track, two from four first up, good barrier trial winner. C 0.75
  MINUS: Nil.    
Our Nkwazi PLUS: Three from seven track, two from four track and distance, weighted to run well, eight soft track wins. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets way back early.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 22 August 2015
Moonee Valley 6 McKenzie Stakes 1200m
Moonee Valley 7 Carlyon Stakes 1000m
Moonee Valley 8 Sweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1500m
Moonee Valley 9 Adapt Australia Handicap 2500m
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