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Moonee Valley Race 7: City Jeep Handicap 2500m

02/01/2016: Bling Dynasty gets all the favours from me; well drawn, could possibly lead if C Williams decides to go early, is fairly weighted getting 4kg off the top weight, and he does not win until fourth up or deeper into a preparation. With three wins from nine runs, his odds are more than fair. Bajour's first up win surprised a few punters but perhaps the effort took its toll as he was spelled for 31 days. The two runs since have been just spot on and with D Oliver back on board I am expecting a top run. I have lost a bit of confidence in Packing Empire's chances but what we do know is that Packaging Empire will not have issues with the track, distance, or track conditions - and is in the quaddie and exotics. Loncava ran poorly last weekend at Morphettville but we don't really know if Loncava was injured, or had a bad day, or whatever, and is a question mark. Spectacular Vision's Sandown win was a strong effort but from her wide barrier she will need to go back early and that's a concern. Rocknet is rising in class from a BM64 at Sale to Flemington but down in the weights and with a terrific 5.5kg drop in weights he must be in with a chance.

Moonee Valley Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (3). Weather: FINE. RaceTime: AEDT 17:25, 02/01/2016

RACEMAPCity Jeep Handicap 2500m
Front Runners Nil.
On Pacers (2) Prince Kilkarlen, (3) Packing Empire, (5) Slade De Cerisy, (8) Bling Dynasty, (11) Danjeu.
Mid Fielders (1) Ranger's Run, (4) Rocknet, (6) Sky Romance, (7) Vihanna Victory.
Get Back (9) Triple Gold, (10) Nisos, (12) Bajour, (13) Kelkea, (14) Waxing, (15) Spectacular Vision.
PACE COMMENTS This one of those weird races where I don't have a consistent front runner but with five on pacers ready to take up the batting in the lead I don't really see pace a major issue early in the race. Once they hit the straight the jogging will come into play until about the 600 metre mark where the sprint home will start. Sometimes in these distance races paces plays a huge part and in others it's the distance while some are a combination. For this race just forget about pace and concentrate on the distance issue. I think it is the most important part of the race.
CHANCESCity Jeep Handicap 2500mOrderMargin
Bling Dynasty PLUS: All wins this distance or longer, win only start this track, good track suits, C Williams rides, could lead? A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Bajour PLUS: Three good track wins, improving off run 31 days ago, D Oliver aboard a positive. B 0.5
  MINUS: Could get back too far to feature.    
Packing Empire PLUS: Distance and track conditions suitable, handles this track. C 1
  MINUS: Loncava formline a bother.    
Spectacular Vision PLUS: Good track, the distance and this track all suitable, strong win last off 24 days, improver for P Moody stable. D 1.5
  MINUS: Could get back too far to feature.    
Rocknet PLUS: Young stayer on the improve, drops 5.5kg from huge 60kg carried last start. E 1.75
  MINUS: Extra distance and class rise.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 2 January 2016
Moonee Valley 5 VOBIS Gold Carat 1200m
Moonee Valley 6 WeDrive.com.au Handicap 2040m
Moonee Valley 7 City Jeep Handicap 2500m
Moonee Valley 8 William Hill Handicap 1200m
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EXOTICS City Jeep Handicap 2500m
Exacta

A: 4 5

B: 2 4 5 6 7

Trifecta

A: 4 5

B: 2 4 5 6 7

C: 2 3 4 5 6 7 9

First Four

A: 4 5

B: 2 4 5 6 7

C: 2 3 4 5 6 7 9

D: 2 3 4 5 6 7 9

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