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Moonee Valley Race 7: Jeep Australia Stakes 1200m

22/01/2016: This is a ripper of a race with the core attention around whether Durendal can step up to wfa class. I think he can with the super run off the pace he is going to receive in the Jeep Australia Stakes. If Richie's Vibe can win this race why can't Durendal? I have snapped up the $8 as I think he should be closer to $5. Holler is the danger if you take the Mahuta form line from the Gothic Stakes effort at Caulfield as a guide. After Mahuta's win in Queensland a fortnight ago and Holler's really easy win last campaign in the Group 3 Telstra Phonewords Stakes the maths adds up to "great chance". You just have to slot in Mourinho on pure courage and his track statistics while Rebel Dane goes in on class but his price surprises me at $3.40. I would have thought closer to $6 would be more like it as he needs luck in the run. Sirbible just slaughtered Judges and Sir Mask at this track and distance last start leaving yours truly with egg on his face. I have serious doubts about a win at this level but that's what I said last time! He will lead into the straight and at $3.80 for the place I say have a small cover bet.

Moonee Valley Race 7. Track Condition: GOOD (4). Weather: OCAST. RaceTime: AEDT 16:46, 23/01/2016

RACEMAPJeep Australia Stakes 1200m
Front Runners (1) Kievann, (7) Sirbible, (8) Holler.
On Pacers (5) Durendal, (10) Written Up, (12) Churchill Dancer, (13) Trust In A Gust.
Mid Fielders (2) Mourinho, (3) Richie's Vibe, (4) It Is Written, (11) Hucklebuck.
Get Back (6) Rebel Dane, (9) Rageese.
PACE COMMENTS It's difficult, on what we have seen in Melbourne, to not believe Sirbible is going to lead and I certainly think he will. Just the same Kievann will kick up as should Holler and they will be right on Sirbible's backside at the four hundred metre mark. In the meantime Durendal's jockey Damian Lane will be having a fit of the giggles as he contemplates victory, if the split comes! I can see the absolute track specialist Mourinho burrowing away as well. As the race will be run I believe Trust In A Gust and Hucklebuck will be caught wide and will be running out of puff in the straight. Rebel Dane is all class but from barrier six he will be shuffled back and that makes his job just that much harder.
CHANCESJeep Australia Stakes 1200mOrderMargin
Durendal PLUS: Six distance wins from eight attempts, six good track wins, keeps winning. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Holler PLUS: Craig Williams / John O'Shea combination, lightly raced, Mahuta form line enormous, track and distance winner. B 0.75
  MINUS: Class rise    
Mourinho PLUS: Track specialist with five wins, ten good track wins, won first up this level last preparation. C 1
  MINUS: First up 1200m this level slight query for horse aiming for Sydney campaign.    
Rebel Dane PLUS: Chautauqua Srikandi formline strong, track record looks ordinary but has been unlucky at least twice. D 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back and needs luck.    
Sirbible PLUS: Flying as unbeaten at track and distance, leads, distance no issue. E 2
  MINUS: Class rise last fifty metres.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 23 January 2016
Moonee Valley 6 Campolina Handicap BM78 1200m
Moonee Valley 7 Jeep Australia Stakes 1200m
Moonee Valley 8 Browns Sawdust & Shavings Handicap 1000m
Moonee Valley 9 William Hill Handicap BM84 1600m
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EXOTICS Jeep Australia Stakes 1200m
Exacta

A: 8 13

B: 1 2 8 11 13

Trifecta

A: 8 13

B: 1 2 8 11 13

C: 1 2 5 6 7 8 11 13

First Four

A: 8 13

B: 1 2 8 11 13

C: 1 2 5 6 7 8 11 13

D: 1 2 5 6 7 8 11 13

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