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Moonee Valley Race 8: Sweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1200m

31/07/2015: My initial paper work on this race looks like a map on the pages of a street directory - there are lines everywhere. Eventually I felt Bishops Castle needed forgiving for his last run as just one of those days when a horse doesn't fire. His previous run off 28 days was a strong effort and good enough for this race. Charles In Charge might be better in the dry but he does run fairy well in the wet and perhaps the 41 days break is the secret for him as he won off 37 days at Caulfield four runs back defeating subsequent winner Rich Jack. Handsome Tycoon loves the wet and if the track is wet today he will feature strongly however I am worried about the distance. Now he has won at the distance perhaps he has matured and can go on with it. If So Does He had drawn better I would have slotted him higher but he will need to drop back and circle the field to win. He does have a good speed ahead of him and based on his last two runs, especially the Hard Romp run two starts ago, he will be in the finish. Sir Mask's last two good runs (forgive the run two starts ago when wide all the way) indicated a horse on the improve and with the 3kg claim he represents value at $26.

Moonee Valley Race 8. RaceTime: AEST 16:25, 01/08/2015

RACEMAPSweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1200m
Front Runners (2) Bishops Castle, (7) Charles In Charge, (14) Boot Scootin'.
On Pacers (1) Le Remas, (5) Handsome Tycoon, (8) Tigers Cub, (12) Sir Mask, (18) Rein In The Tiger.
Mid Fielders (3) Wilscot, (6) Lockroy, (9) Morant, (11) Monkstone, (13) Jetello, (15) Kraftwerk.
Get Back (4) Grand Emperor, (10) Grand Orator, (11) La Venta, (16) So Does He.
PACE COMMENTS With Bishops Castle and Charles In Charge vying for a forward position and another five on pacers pushing forward there seems little doubt the pace is going to be hectic to say the least. Do not be worried, apart for traffic reasons, if you fancy a midfielder or get back type as some of those near the lead will be weakening quite quickly.
CHANCESSweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1200mOrderMargin
Bishops Castle PLUS: Three from eight in wet, three from thirteen distance, drawn well with claim for leader on pacer. A 0
  MINUS: Best recent runs dry tracks.    
Charles In Charge PLUS: Three from nine distance, five from fifteen good tracks. B 0.25
  MINUS: 41 days break, one from four track placing, one from eight wet tracks but four placings?    
Handsome Tycoon PLUS: Three from ten wet tracks, gets good on pace run, bit soft off 24 days last run. C 1
  MINUS: One from six distance, first track run.    
So Does He PLUS: Top wide run Flemington two runs ago forgive, easy win last run. D 1.25
  MINUS: Bad barrier drops back, one from seven in wet.    
Sir Mask PLUS: 3kg claim, won twice 1300m, wide two runs ago forgive, beat others easily behind Rich Jack. E 1.75
  MINUS: Two from fourteen good better in wet?    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 1 August 2015
Moonee Valley 6 Ranvet Handicap 1200m
Moonee Valley 7 Jeep Handicap 1600m
Moonee Valley 8 Sweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1200m
Moonee Valley 9 William Hill Handicap 2500m
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