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Moonee Valley Race 9: Adapt Australia Handicap 2500m

21/08/2015: They take it in turns in these races and I think it’s Kareeming's turn simply because I felt he needed the run last start when jumping nine hundred metres second up off 35 days. It was a big ask and he didn't shirk the battle and along the way he lost a plate which wouldn’t have helped. With the 1.5 kg claim he looks a top chance. Sir Laszlo is the new boy on an old block of the usual suspects and with 52.5kg he gets his chance on a track that might have improved by this time of day. Worth noting he ran in a barrier trial on the fourteenth and that will have strengthened him for this race. Westsouthwest is back on the flat after a hurdle run and the run may have sharpened him a fraction. He's been placed six from seven on the track so expect an honest run. You Think So is one of those horses that will drive you to drink. He has the ability on his day but which day and here off 31 days you wonder but he is at good odds for a saver bet. At First Sight has more convictions than the early convicts but his last run was a ripper as he had to go wide on the home turn and the effort told in the last fifty metres. I don't trust him but let's give him one more chance. Crafty Cruiser has won four of his last ten runs which you would not have believed a few months ago. Why can't he win again and at good odds too?

Moonee Valley Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 17:15, 22/08/2015

RACEMAPAdapt Australia Handicap 2500m
Front Runners (8) Miss Mossman.
On Pacers (1) Westsouthwest, (2) Zazparella.
Mid Fielders (3) Sir Laszlo, (4) Reigning, (6) You Think So, (7) Sir Mako, (9) Star Darci, (11) Crafty Cruiser, (12) At First Sight, (13) Kareeming, (14) Maharaaj.
Get Back (5) Back To Abilene, (10) Hula Lua, (15) Cuban Fighter.
PACE COMMENTS Going on her last start it looks like Miss Mossman will lead which will see Westsouthwest and Zazparella slotting into the BC in running positions. However, look at that wall of mid fielders. Some will have to surge forward a fraction while others will find their spot fairly easily and the rest will need to drop back. It's really going to be a bit of a guessing game trying to work them out. Hopefully, Miss Mossman will spread the field out. This is another race where I will be demanding a good price about my mid fielders as we really cannot be too sure about the pace.
CHANCESAdapt Australia Handicap 2500mOrderMargin
Kareeming PLUS: Handles track, distance, conditions, big distance jump last run forgivable effort. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Sir Laszlo PLUS: Five from fifteen good, six from twenty three career good for staying type, 1.5kg claim helps cause. B 0.25
  MINUS: One from five wet tracks.    
Westsouthwest PLUS: Distance no issue, gets good run off pace, better if wet three from fourteen. C 0.5
  MINUS: Not winning races.    
You Think So PLUS: Three from eight distance, one from four track and distance, better in good eight wins. D 1
  MINUS: Inconsistent, 31 days break.    
At First Sight PLUS: Strong last run when wide home turn. E 1.25
  MINUS: Rises 2kg, abysmal career record, zero from seventeen good tracks.    
Crafty Cruiser PLUS: Six wet track wins, two from eight track and distance, won four of last ten runs, on fire. F 2
  MINUS: Weight a killer.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 22 August 2015
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