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Moonee Valley Race 9: William Hill Handicap 2500m

31/07/2015: Doctor Care (entered for Adelaide) likes the wet, is on the improve as a racehorse, handles distance and is trained by D Weir AND receives the perfect run off the pace. If he is not the each way bet of the quadrella legs who is? Reigning is another who loves the wet and going on his Grafton Cup run, when held up, I would think distance is not a great issue. More of a concern is his get back style with 57.5kg but we do have a good pace race and D Oliver is aboard a C Waller trained horse and that adds up to some plus factors worth considering. Sir Mako (entered Sydney) loves the wet but flopped at Canterbury last start when the jockey believed he didn’t handle the tight track (Moonee Valley is tight!) nor the shorter distance. The run reads as a forgive effort more re: the distance than the track tightness for mine. Kareeming is second up off a five week break at an unsuitable distance so expect a much better run today especially if the track is wet though he’s no slouch in dry conditions. Cooldini is on his last chance on the flat for me as his last run was weak however his previous run was promising enough. He won a weak hurdle barrier trial over 2400m on July 17 which is an indication of his future. Sometimes a hurdling experience sharpens up a horse so, as I said, one last chance.

Moonee Valley Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 17:00, 01/08/2015

RACEMAPWilliam Hill Handicap 2500m
Front Runners (1) Masters Degree, (11) Stand To Gain, (13) Gold To Go.
On Pacers (2) Danchai, (5) Doctor Care, (6) Red Fella, (10) Artistic Lass, (14) Zazparella.
Mid Fielders (4) Kareeming, (7) Thubiaan, (12) Crafty Cruiser, (15) Cooldini.
Get Back (3) Reigning, (8) Multilateral, (9) Sir Mako, (16) Westsouthwest, (17) Secessio).
PACE COMMENTS Usually in this distance range you only have two or three regular front runners and on pacers to choose from but in this race, and that includes jumps starts, there are as many as eight out of the seventeen who could be leading or sitting on the pace! Just the same once the race has gone a few hundred metres the anchors will drop and things will slow down but at least the back markers will be able to come into the race. The likes of Reigning, Kareeming and Crafty Cruiser, who normally drop back, shouldn’t be using pace an excuse: it will be solid enough for them.
CHANCESWilliam Hill Handicap 2500mOrderMargin
Doctor Care PLUS: Five from fourteen career, two from four wet, distance no issue, track second off 28 days. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Reigning PLUS: Four from fifteen wet tracks, C Waller D Oliver combination. B 0.75
  MINUS: Gets back, possible distance query, first start this track.    
Sir Mako PLUS: Five from eleven wet, C Waller entered for Sydney, forgive last run as distance query needs longer. C 1.25
  MINUS: Gets back possible minor concern, distance query though not from jockey on last run.    
Kareeming PLUS: Two from six wet, one from one track and distance, pipe opener last run unsuitable distance. D 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back possible minor concern.    
Cooldini PLUS: Hurdle trial recently sharpener for this, two runs ago strong run, four wins 2400 metres plus. E 2.5
  MINUS: Weak run last star concern, maybe time for jumps career?    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 1 August 2015
Moonee Valley 6 Ranvet Handicap 1200m
Moonee Valley 7 Jeep Handicap 1600m
Moonee Valley 8 Sweeney Estate Agents Handicap 1200m
Moonee Valley 9 William Hill Handicap 2500m
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