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Moonee Valley Race 9: WilliamHillWolf Handicap 2040m

04/09/2015: Goodness gracious: what a race of conundrums dependent on the state of the track. The forecasts indicate the track will be close to good but it's a toss up at this stage. Let's assume good. The run by Almoonqith was excellent at his first Australian run and for a horse with an excellent second up record and a really helpful claim you would think he is a top chance. Our Voodoo Prince won last start under the care of C Waller but is now with D Weir, which is certainly not a minus factor. His win at Caulfield was quite strong and expect another good run. If Our Voodoo Prince is a chance so is Diametric so we slot him in for third. Ihtsahymn has a cracker third up and deeper statistic, albeit all in Western Australia, but his last start second up run was quite strong and the rise to this distance is really quite suitable. Digitalism is out the door if the track is dry for mine as is Shenzhou Steeds (yes, he won last start on a good track but it was a contentious protest result). I have popped in Stellarized and Diaghan as they are improvers at good odds but note both are entered for Adelaide in race four. If scratched here back them in Adelaide.

Moonee Valley Race 9. RaceTime: AEST 17:20, 05/09/2015

RACEMAPWilliamHillWolf Handicap 2040m
Front Runners (4) Wexford Town.
On Pacers (6) Foundry, (7) Stellarized, (9) Lord Durante, (12) Digitalism, (13) Danchai.
Mid Fielders (1) Almoonqith, (2) Itsahymn, (5) Albonetti,(11) Our Voodoo Prince, (14) Shenzou Heeds.
Get Back (3) Renew, (8) Turner Bayou, (10) Correggio, (15) Prizum, (16) Diaghan, (17) Diametric, (18) Doumaran.
PACE COMMENTS This is a bit of a mystery race early as even though I have Wexford Town as the only leader (based on one Australian run) I would not be surprised to see a couple of my on pacers vying for the lead. I cannot bag any horse in the race based on running style though its obvious the run on types like Prizum and Diametric, to name just two, will need to circle the field and that will lessen their winning chances. Pace wise this is a dangerous race to try and predict.
CHANCESWilliamHillWolf Handicap 2040mOrderMargin
Almoonqith PLUS: Four wins from eleven good track runs, won three from four runs second up, 3kg claim very helpful. A 0
  MINUS: Nil.    
Our Voodoo Prince PLUS: Five good track wins and three at the distance, carries limit weight after claim, passable if wet. B 0.25
  MINUS: Gets back in field.    
Diametric PLUS: Two distance wins and four placings from nine runs, three wins from twelve runs on good tracks. C 0.5
  MINUS: One win from eight wet track runs, drawn wide and has to go back.    
Ihtsahymn PLUS: Seven good track wins, six wins third up or deeper in a campaign from thirteen starts, now ready. D 0.75
  MINUS: Has no wet track form, gets back in the run.    
Digitalism PLUS: Three wins from seven runs this track, six wins in the wet, winner at track and distance from two runs. E 1.25
  MINUS: Has not raced for 35 days, one win from eighteen good track runs.    
Shenzhou Steeds PLUS: One win from three runs at track and distance, six wins on wet tracks, racing in top form. F 1.5
  MINUS: Gets back, eight year old seeking city races hat trick.    
Stellarized PLUS: Three wins from eight good track runs, four wins from seven starts second up or deeper in campaigns. G 2
  MINUS: Ordinary first up run.    
Diaghan PLUS: Needed last run when off 49 days break, two prior runs forgivable, prefers damp tracks. H 2.25
  MINUS: Zero from five runs on good tracks but last three forgive runs, difficult to assess on Australian runs.    
Quadrella Race# Moonee Valley 5 September 2015
Moonee Valley 6 The Cup Club Stakes 1200m
Moonee Valley 7 Dato' Tan Chin Nam Stakes 1600m
Moonee Valley 8 McEwen Stakes 1000m
Moonee Valley 9 WilliamHillWolf Handicap 2040m
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